A month and a half ago, Ethereum was hovering in the vicinity of $340 a coin. The bulls seemed unstoppable after lifting the price by over 320% in six months. Unfortunately, an invisible threat was brewing under the surface. Instead of simply extrapolating the recent uptrend into the future, we thought it appropriate to take…
How Bitcoin Almost Collapsed Last Month
The price of Bitcoin returned above the $12 000 mark two days ago. As of this writing, the biggest cryptocurrency is still trading in the vicinity of $12k and the larger uptrend appears to be still in progress. Less than two weeks ago, things were not looking so rosy. BTCUSD was hovering around $9500 in…
Trump Didn’t Drag USDJPY Down. Elliott Wave Did
USDJPY plunged sharply last week after President Trump’s latest China tariff threats. The pair reached a high of 109.32 on Wednesday, July 31st, but finished the week below 106.60 on Friday. However, just because something happens after something else, it doesn’t mean there is causation between the two. In USDJPY’s case, the stage was set…
Crude Oil Bears Needed a Spark. Trump Threw a Bomb
The price of crude oil recorded its biggest daily decline in four years Thursday after President Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods. The U.S.-China trade war has been unfolding during most of Trump’s presidency. With the 2020 elections approaching, many thought a trade deal might be in the…
Famous Pattern Put Gold Traders Ahead of the Curve
Last week, gold finally broke out of the consolidation it has been locked in for almost a month. The price fell to $1400 before rising to $1453 on Friday, July 19th. But instead of maintaining the positive momentum, the bulls lost steam and allowed the bears to close the weekly session at $1425.66. Fortunately, a…
Crude Oil Bears Needed a Week… And Mike Pompeo
The price of crude oil has been marching upward since early June, when it bottomed at $50.59. By July 11th, a barrel cost $60.91. Unfortunately for the bulls, the rally came to a halt after Secretary of State Mike Pompeo stated Iran was willing to negotiate on its ballistic missile program. To the oil market,…
Elliott Wave Setup Helps Crude Add 8.4% in a Week
The price of crude oil is approaching the $61 mark helped by U.S.-Iran tensions and a 9.5-million barrel decrease in US inventories. A rally in oil prices might seem easy to explain now, but it wasn’t so obvious a week ago. On July 3rd, crude was barely holding above $56 a barrel after a decline…
Dare to Guess the Best Stock Market Index of 2019?
The first half of 2019 saw stock market indices around the globe rebound sharply. In the U.S., NASDAQ, DJIA and the S&P 500 are up 22.7%, 14.8% and 18.9% since the start of the year, respectively. In Europe, the German DAX and France’s CAC 40 both climbed 17.8%, UK’s FTSE 100 surged by 12% and…
CVI Stock Keeps the Elliott Wave Rally Alive
The first time we wrote about CVR Energy was in September 2016. CVI stock was hovering below $15 a share at the time, following a crash from as high as $72 in 2013. Despite the terrible three years the bulls had to suffer through, our Elliott Wave analysis of CVI stock ‘s weekly chart convinced…
USDCHF Bears in Charge. Time for a New Key Level
On May 30th USDCHF was trading near 1.0100 in an attempt to recover from a decline from 1.0238 to 1.0009. The bulls had managed to add more than 90 pips and seemed determined to get the job done. Unfortunately for them, there was an Elliott Wave pattern suggesting their efforts were most likely going to…
EURUSD Bulls Needed a Catalyst. Mr. Powell Obliged
EURUSD was trading near 1.1170 at the start of last week. The pair was close to levels last seen two years ago and most expected the slide to continue. But then, on June 4th, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell implied the Central Bank is considering interest rate cuts in response to trade issues. By Friday, June…
Crude Oil Shows Why Alternative Counts Matter
Trade war fears are officially back, causing indiscriminate selling of stocks and commodities alike. Crude oil has been hit especially hard as supply glut worries are also beginning to reemerge. Crude oil closed at $53.34 a barrel last week, but this selloff was triggered by the breach of a key level in the week before…
Copper Bulls Ready to Attack the $3 Mark?
A little over a months ago the price of copper was hovering above $2.92/lb., following a recovery from under $2.53/lb. For better or worse, trend-following has never been our favorite strategy. So instead of joining the bulls in anticipation of more strength ahead, we examined copper’s 2-hour price chart through the prism of the Elliott…
USDCNH Before and After Trump’s Tariff Threat
The negotiations between the two biggest economies are not going as well as investors hoped. Stock market indices are down across the board following President Trump’s new China tariff threat. Another side-effect was the sharp rally to over 6.82 in USDCNH. And while Trump’s tweet about China did, indeed, trigger the surge, the actual reason…
USDJPY: Analyze, Prepare, then Let the Market Decide
USDJPY reached its higher level so far in 2019 yesterday. The pair climbed to 112.166, extending its recovery from the 109.71 bottom formed last month. But the bulls didn’t always look that confident. Just a week ago, the pair was hovering around 111.15, down from 111.83 five days earlier. Instead of forming an opinion based…
