COVID-19 returned with a new force in Europe after the warm summer months. Countries around the continent have entered new lockdowns in an attempt to curb the virus’ spread. The situation in the U.S. has never been worse with roughly 200 000 cases per day. But unlike during the first wave of measures, crude oil…
Crude Oil – The Elliott Wave Reason for the Reversal
At the start of last week crude oil was trading at less than $36 a barrel. It was down from $43.84 in August and from $41.91 on October 20th. Fortunately, Elliott Wave analysis helped us prepare for this selloff in advance. So, when the weekly session began, the price of crude oil was down 14%…
Crude Oil Bears Make the Most of Their Time to Shine
After the market broke during the pandemic panic and crude oil prices fell into negative territory, a quick and sharp surge followed. WTI climbed to $43.84 a barrel in late-August. But the crisis was far from over and the Elliott Wave principle helped us correctly predict the bearish reversal that came next. Now, crude oil…
Crude Oil Gave Bulls a Clear Warning Before it Dropped
It’s been a bad couple of weeks for crude oil bulls. The price had been steadily climbing for months, up over 300% since late-April. In the last days of August, WTI crude oil reached almost $44 a barrel. By September 8th, however, the price was below $36.50. This 17% drop can be explained with the…
Bullish Crude Oil Bet Pays Off Against All Odds
When it comes to the crude oil market, last month was one for the history books. The coronavirus pandemic forced the global economy to grind to a halt. This led to a sharp decline in oil consumption, while production was too slow to adapt. As a result, there was plenty of oil nobody wanted as…
A Pattern + Drone Attacks Equals an Oil Price Spike
The price of WTI crude oil spiked at the open on Monday, following drone attacks on Saudi Arabian oil facilities over the weekend that practically cut the kingdom’s output in half. How long will it take for output to be restored and is the situation going to escalate from here remains to be seen. The…
Crude Oil Bears Needed a Spark. Trump Threw a Bomb
The price of crude oil recorded its biggest daily decline in four years Thursday after President Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods. The U.S.-China trade war has been unfolding during most of Trump’s presidency. With the 2020 elections approaching, many thought a trade deal might be in the…
Crude Oil Bears Needed a Week… And Mike Pompeo
The price of crude oil has been marching upward since early June, when it bottomed at $50.59. By July 11th, a barrel cost $60.91. Unfortunately for the bulls, the rally came to a halt after Secretary of State Mike Pompeo stated Iran was willing to negotiate on its ballistic missile program. To the oil market,…
Elliott Wave Setup Helps Crude Add 8.4% in a Week
The price of crude oil is approaching the $61 mark helped by U.S.-Iran tensions and a 9.5-million barrel decrease in US inventories. A rally in oil prices might seem easy to explain now, but it wasn’t so obvious a week ago. On July 3rd, crude was barely holding above $56 a barrel after a decline…
Crude Oil Shows Why Alternative Counts Matter
Trade war fears are officially back, causing indiscriminate selling of stocks and commodities alike. Crude oil has been hit especially hard as supply glut worries are also beginning to reemerge. Crude oil closed at $53.34 a barrel last week, but this selloff was triggered by the breach of a key level in the week before…
Crude Oil Made an Elliott Wave “Push-Up” Last Week
It has been an eventful week for crude oil traders. On Wednesday, January 16th, the EIA revealed that inventories have decreased by 2.7 million barrels from the previous week. In the same time, it became clear that U.S. oil production rose to a record high of 11.9 million barrels per day. The first piece of…
Catching Crude Oil ‘s $7-Rally Amid Supply Glut Fears
Crude oil bulls got slaughtered in the last three months of 2018. Between the start of October and the end of December, the price fell by over 45% from $77.07 to $42.21, sparking fears of a new supply glut. Then, the selloff’s sudden stop caught nearly everyone by surprise. Yesterday, WTI crude oil reached $52.48.…
Crude Oil Ignores OPEC-Russia Deal to Breach $50
WTI crude oil dipped below $50 a barrel in late-November, but quickly recovered to $54.54 on December 4th. The price spent the next ten days above the $50 mark and it looked like the bulls might be able to bounce up from this key psychological level. Unfortunately for them, the price of crude oil fell…
Crude Oil: How Elliott Wave Deals with Uncertainty
On October 3rd, the price of WTI crude oil was up 27.9% year-to-date, corresponding to a rally from $60.09 to $76.88 a barrel in a little over nine months. Unfortunately for the bulls, no trend lasts forever and the rest of October confirmed that fact. Crude oil prices plunged to $64.83 yesterday, erasing almost 72%…
WTI Crude Oil and the Case Against Top/Bottom Picking
Traders often think they have to catch each and every move in its entirety, in order to be successful. The sad truth is that is impossible and trying to achieve it can easily backfire and lead to more losses instead of bigger profits. Whether you trade Forex, WTI crude oil or stocks, nobody can catch…
