In our previous article about the Indian Nifty 50 index we expressed an opinion that its uptrend cannot be trusted for much longer. Our skepticism was based on the benchmark’s weekly chart, which revealed a clear impulse pattern. A three-wave correction follows every impulse, so with the price around 13 500, we thought it was…
S&P 500: Turning Bullish While the World Fell Apart
We find it hard to describe the past twelve months. What a year it’s been. A little over a year ago, the world was in utter panic. No-one really knew what is going on nor what was going to happen next. The prevalent emotion across the globe was fear. In the financial markets that fear…
NZX 50 Index On the Verge of a 40% Elliott Wave Drop
NZX 50 is New Zealand’s benchmark stock market index. It was created in 2003 and includes the 50 largest companies in the country. We stumbled on it while researching one of its components – The a2 Milk Company – but that’s another story. NZX 50 climbed to almost 13 000 earlier this month, up 58%…
Nifty 50 Index Can Severely Injure the Bulls in 2021
The U.S. S&P 500 index is up 67.6% since its March low. The Indian Nifty 50 did even better than that. The benchmark index of the second most populous country has climbed 79.4% from its 7511 bottom nine months ago. It currently trades slightly below 13 500, not far from its recent all-time high of…
DJTA: Putting 50 Years of Data in Elliott Wave Context
Just six months ago, it felt as if the world was coming to an end. People in Europe and the USA were stockpiling necessities in preparation to isolate themselves for an unknown time period. The coronavirus panic had dragged stock market averages down 35-40% in just a month. It was the fastest plunge into a…
DAX 30 Surged 50%+ in Three Months. Here is Why
THIS WEEK ONLY, in addition to the seven premium instruments, all our subscribers will receive ONE Elliott Wave analysis of DAX 30 as a BONUS. Subscribe NOW and get yours on Sunday, June 14th. The last time we wrote about the German DAX 30, the index was in a free fall. It was March 2nd…
Elliott Wave Setup Sends S&P 500 12% Higher
As demonstrated in our previous article about the S&P 500, the stock market started climbing while the economy looked the weakest. Then, as the markets kept rising, a new conundrum occurred. How to explain the extremely wide disconnect between the stock market and the economy? GDP forecasts for Q2 are all over the map, ranging…
Insurance ETF Nearly Halves As COVID-19 Takes Toll
Maybe only with the exception of grocery stores, one can hardly find a stock not suffering from the COVID-19 disaster. Insurance companies were not spared either, so it is no surprise that the SPDR Insurance ETF (KIE) crashed, as well. This ETF, which ranks Progressive and Brown & Brown among its top holdings, lost 46.1%…
Another Nightmarish Week, Another Illogical S&P Surge
As COVID-19 spreads across the U.S., the economy is teetering on the verge of collapse. Initial jobless claims came in at 6.6 million yesterday, bringing the three-week tally to nearly 17 million. The unemployment rate is estimated to have already surpassed its 2008-2009 recession level. Economists at Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and the IMF predict…
S&P 500 Elliott Wave Analysis Giveaway
The S&P 500 crashed by as much as 35% in just one month. And while the coronavirus outbreak was totally unpredictable, the crash it caused made perfect sense. Elliott Wave is our favorite method of analysis, but as the market kept rising we decided to back it up with fundamental data. The result was a…
S&P 500, Against All Logic, Re-Enters Bull Market
The coronavirus pandemic forced the global economy to grind to a halt. Major U.S. stock market indices made their fastest plunge into bear market in history. In less than two months, DJIA and the S&P 500 lost 38.4% and 35.4%, respectively. “The virus is just starting to spread in the United States, the market is…
Dow Jones Transports Ready for a Rebound?
The coronavirus pandemic is wreaking havoc on the global economy. Governments are closing malls, restaurants and literally all kinds of social gathering places, and even putting entire cities on lockdown. In the meantime, stock market indices are in free fall. The S&P 500 is down 28.7% YTD and the Dow Jones Industrials lost 35.2% since…
Three Years Ahead of the COVID-19 Airlines Disaster
As the coronavirus pandemic rages on, governments are taking measures to restrict unnecessary travel and mass gatherings. The airlines sector is probably the one being hit the hardest by the restrictions. The high fixed costs and huge debt loads of the airlines make them extremely vulnerable to economic downturns. With international and domestic travel on…
Nikkei Down 30% on COVID-19 Fears. Time to Buy?
The last time we looked at the Japanese Nikkei 225 was on November 19th, 2019. The index was comfortably trading above 23 400 and the uptrend seemed very healthy, on the surface at least. And indeed, in December, the price reached 24 116. However, the fact that prices have been rising in the past didn’t…
“DAX Falls on Coronavirus Fears.” It’s Not That Simple
The coronavirus outbreak is a convenient explanation for everything market-related these days. According to the media, investors across the globe panicked last week that the virus, which has taken over 3000 lives already, is going to become a pandemic. Major stock market indices in the U.S. lost roughly 14% in the past five trading days.…
