"INSTINCT"

This book is not about trading. It is about something much more important. The dark side of the Elliott Wave principle...

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Dunkin Bears Are Not Done Yet

Dunkin Brands Group Inc. stock was looking desperate at the start of the year when its share price fell as low as 36.44. Ever since, however, Dunkin has been recovering and is currently trading close to 49 dollars a share. Investors might start thinking it is time to turn bullish again and jump into the […]

Bank of America: A Good Long Term Bet?

Bank of America Corp. was one of the most severely damaged stocks during the 2007-2009 crash. Shares plunged over 95% from above 55 dollars a share in November 2006 to as low as 2.53 in February 2009. The stock has been recovering ever since, but currently slightly above 15.30, it is still nowhere near the pre-crash levels. What […]

EURGBP: Time to Turn Bearish?

EURGBP has been in a strong and steady uptrend since November 2015, when it finally managed to leave the area between 0.6930 and 0.7100. The consecutive bottoms were needed for the bears to realize the support zone there was too strong for them to breach. Last week, the pair climbed to 0.8724. But every trend is […]

Verizon Has a Bright Future, But…

Verizon has been on a shopping spree. It was recently announced the company is going to acquire Yahoo!’s core assets for $4.8 billion. The telecom giant also spent $2.4 billion on FleetMatics this months, and $1.8 billion more on XO Communications in February this year. Judging from the pace with which Verizon is expanding its […]

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EURGBP: Time to Turn Bearish?

EURGBP has been in a strong and steady uptrend since November 2015, when it finally managed to leave the area between 0.6930 and 0.7100. The consecutive bottoms were needed for the bears to realize the support zone there was too strong for them to breach. Last week, the pair climbed to 0.8724. But every trend is […]

EURUSD: Elliott Waves Versus Deceptive NFP Reports

The last two weeks have been exceptionally good for EURUSD so far. The pair rose from as low as 1.1045 on August 5th to 1.1322 as of yesterday, August 16th. The plunge to 1.1045 came as a result of the latest NFP report, which turned out to be very good for the dollar… at first. […]

Riding EURUSD’s Rally From the Start

EURUSD took a hard hit after the British referendum results showed Britain wants to leave the European union. The pair plummeted from 1.1427 to as low as 1.0911 in a matter of hours on June 24th. After recovering to 1.1185, the exchange rate started declining again. A month after the referendum, it fell to 1.0951 […]

Bitcoin Hiding an Ace in the Sleeve?

It has been a while since Bitcoin fell to 152 dollars in January, 2015. A year and a half later – in June, 2016 – it rose to 779 and reminded us of its best days in 2013, when it almost reached the 1200 dollar mark. BTCUSD currently stands slightly above 620 and now seems […]

All from Forex

DJIA Since The Great Depression, Our View

The financial world remembers the Great Depression of 1929-1932 as the most devastating period of the 20th century. Between September 1929 and July 1932, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plunged nearly 90%, from as high as 386 to slightly above 40. The crisis then spread to other countries before eventually taking over the whole world. And […]

Not the Time to Buy FTSE 100 Either

On June 24th, when it became clear that the majority of UK citizens wants the country to leave the European Union, the FTSE 100 fell sharply to 5741. However, it has been recovering ever since and is currently trading above 6680. Once again, trading the news did not prove to be the way to make money […]

Buying S&P 500’s Breakout? Too Late.

The S&P 500 just climbed to a new all-time high above 2138. Obviously the bulls are back, but you may have heard that joining the bulls near record highs is rarely a good idea. If you are banging you head in the wall for not buying the dip five months ago, you are probably not […]

Common Sense Killing Bears in S&P 500

Just like almost all other markets, the S&P 500’s collapsed after the British referendum results last week, as well. The political and economic uncertainty is not going anywhere so most might think the index was supposed to continue much lower. Well, the market did not think so. The S&P 500 bottomed out at 1990 and […]

All from Indices

Gold or How to Predict a Brexit

Gold is considered to be a “safe haven” in times of uncertainty. So the common logic says that when something totally unexpected happens, such as Brexit, panicked investors buy gold to protect themselves from the falling prices in other markets, thus causing the price of the yellow metal to surge. So far so good. The […]

Gold: Did You Buy the Dip?

Gold has been doing great recently. The precious metal rose to as high as 1316 and having in mind the rally initially began from 1046, it is no wonder last week’s pullback from 1316 to 1276 was looking like a good ”buy the dip” opportunity to most people. Unfortunately, the price of gold tumbled even more […]

What Went Wrong for Gold?

What wont wrong for gold? Ever since the precious metal bottomed at $1046 in December, 2015, it has been steadily rising. Six months later, in the beginning of May, the price of gold rocketed to nearly $1304. And just when everyone thought the rally was going to continue even higher, the bears decided they have […]

Silver to Run Out of Fuel, Again?

Just eight days ago, on April 5th, Silver was trading around 15.10 after having bottomed at 14.78 a couple of trading days before. That was also the day, when we published “Silver Has Been Great. Now What?” to share with our readers that the Elliott Wave Principle was flashing bullish signs. The following chart was […]

All from Precious metals

Dunkin Bears Are Not Done Yet

Dunkin Brands Group Inc. stock was looking desperate at the start of the year when its share price fell as low as 36.44. Ever since, however, Dunkin has been recovering and is currently trading close to 49 dollars a share. Investors might start thinking it is time to turn bullish again and jump into the […]

Bank of America: A Good Long Term Bet?

Bank of America Corp. was one of the most severely damaged stocks during the 2007-2009 crash. Shares plunged over 95% from above 55 dollars a share in November 2006 to as low as 2.53 in February 2009. The stock has been recovering ever since, but currently slightly above 15.30, it is still nowhere near the pre-crash levels. What […]

Verizon Has a Bright Future, But…

Verizon has been on a shopping spree. It was recently announced the company is going to acquire Yahoo!’s core assets for $4.8 billion. The telecom giant also spent $2.4 billion on FleetMatics this months, and $1.8 billion more on XO Communications in February this year. Judging from the pace with which Verizon is expanding its […]

Disney Ready For a Mid-Term Rally

A year ago, in August 2015, Disney stock was flying above 122 dollars a share. Yesterday’s trading session was closed slightly below 98.00. And while that is still higher than the 86.25 bottom in February 2016, Disney remains one of the beaten-down stocks of the year. Is this going to change? Should you buy the […]

All from Stocks

Crude Oil: A Vital Alternative Count

Crude Oil was timidly trying to recover in the beginning of March, after falling to as low as 26.03 a month earlier. Just 3 months later, in June, it nearly doubled, reaching the vicinity of 51.60 dollars a barrel. Most bears were probably feeling too enthusiastic about the downtrend, which has been in progress for about two […]

Amazing Elliott Wave Precision in Crude Oil

Last week, the price of crude oil fell to 43.02. This week, it seems determined to reach the 50-dollar mark. From surplus, through production cuts to supply shortages, it might seem impossible for traders to correctly interpret the plethora of news, which, according to the majority, leads to oil’s volatility. We have to admit it […]

There Was Always Hope for Crude Oil

It was not the best start of a week for crude oil. The commodity’s price fell to 43.02 dollars a barrel on Tuesday, May 10th, and the bears were getting ready for a feast. However, it was not meant to be, since prices quickly reversed to the north and two days later – on Thursday, […]

Is Doha to Blame for Oil’s Violent Swings?

The world was hoping that the biggest oil producers were going to reach an agreement to freeze output during their meeting in Doha on Sunday, April 17th. They did not, since Saudi Arabia insisted on all OPEC members taking part in the agreement. When the oil market opened with a huge bearish gap on Monday, […]

All from Commodities

Negative Social Mood, Pegida’s Best Friend

“Fears are growing in Germany of a far-Right resurgence stoked by the refugee crisis, after nearly 20,000 took to the streets of Dresden in the biggest rally by the Pegida anti-immigrant movement for months.” – The Telegraph One of the speakers at the rally actually expressed regret that “the concentration camps are out of action”. […]

Even Apple has Socionomic Problems

In 1940s, Edward R. Dewey hypothesized, that the tallest buildings are usually completed after significant market peaks. Now, 74 years later, this hypothesis is a good addition to the socionomic theory. The new science of Socionomics, founded by Robert Prechter Jr. in 1979, postulates that social mood drives financial, macroeconomic, political and social behavior, in […]

What do Ferguson and Iraq have in common?

Have you been watching the news recently? If yes, then you have probably heard about the riots in Ferguson and the US airstrikes against the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). But what do these two conflict zones have in common? And what does the Market have to do with it? The riots in […]

Is another Arab Spring lurking ahead?

The Arab Spring is a wave of revolutions, demonstrations and civil conflicts, which struck mainly Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria during 2010 – 2013. Mostly, people were angry with decades of dictatorship and the violation of basic human rights. Many leaders had been forced from power. Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who held office for almost […]

All from Socionomics

EURAUD Could be Aiming at 1.51

The EURAUD pair has been in a downtrend for a month since February 11th. Then, on March 10th, the bulls woke up with a bang and lifted the exchange rate from 1.4465 to 1.5085 in just five hours. Today, EURAUD fell to as low as 1.4662, before climbing above 1.4850 so far. Which of the two […]

EURJPY Looking for Fibonacci Support?

The Elliott Wave Principle is a market forecasting method, based on pattern recognition. If an analyst is able to recognize a pattern on the chart and knows what should follow, he could as well be able to predict what the market is most likely to do next. That is what we are going to try […]

EURCAD’s Recent Weakness Deciphered

EURCAD surpassed the 1.61 mark on January 20th, but the bulls could not hold on to that momentum, which led to a sharp decline to 1.5245 just five days later. Currently, the pair stands slightly above 1.5415, but the recovery seems to be a timid one, not giving us enough confidence to “buy the dip”. […]

AUDJPY to Extend The Corrective Recovery

While the big picture outlook in AUDJPY remains clearly to the south, the smaller time frames may offer some short-term bullish swings. Elliott Wave patterns could be found on all degrees of trends, which gives us the opportunity to examine the 15-minute chart, in order to see if we could recognize something. It looks like […]

All from intraday