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"INSTINCT"

This book is not about trading. It is about something much more important. The dark side of the Elliott Wave principle...

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S&P 500 Three Days Ahead of the Fed

The S&P 500 was very indecisive at the start of the week. The index has been moving sideways between 2130 and 2154 until Wednesday, when the bulls finally managed to break out of the consolidation and continue higher.  We even saw 2180, before today’s retreat, so those, who have been bullish near 2130 on Monday, must be […]

Crude Oil Walking the Elliott Wave Path

The price of crude oil initially rose to $44.68 on Monday, but then the bears took over again, which led to a decline to $43.05. But instead of continuing to the south, oil rebounded sharply up and is currently trading above the $46 mark. You might even think that the price is deliberately moving up […]

USDCAD Bulls Should Have Seen the Warning

Last Friday, USDCAD climbed to 1.3247 and despite this week’s attempts to reach this level again, the best the bulls were capable of was 1.3242. Instead of continuing higher after two weeks of steady gains from 1.2822, the pair lost over 200 pips and is currently trading near 1.3040. Most people would say that the Fed’s […]

Patient Intel Bulls Get Their Reward

Intel has been doing great recently. The stock fell to $27.67 in mid-February, but has been rallying ever since and even managed to exceed $38 a share last week. That is the investor’s dream – a recovery of over 30% in just seven months. In order to inform our readers about that great opportunity, we […]

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USDCAD Bulls Should Have Seen the Warning

Last Friday, USDCAD climbed to 1.3247 and despite this week’s attempts to reach this level again, the best the bulls were capable of was 1.3242. Instead of continuing higher after two weeks of steady gains from 1.2822, the pair lost over 200 pips and is currently trading near 1.3040. Most people would say that the Fed’s […]

USDCAD’s Elliott Wave “Road Map”

USDCAD has been rather boring recently. The pair has been moving sideways for several months now, locked between 1.3250 and 1.2660 since May. Such behavior could easily annoy traders, who are waiting for a clear trend to join. Boring or annoying, however, does not mean that USDCAD has been unpredictable. The following chart first emerged […]

Who Saw USDJPY’s Crash Coming?

Last week, the USDJPY pair opened at 102.02 and undertook an impressive rally to 104.31, before settling at 104.01 for the weekend. After such an impressive bullish run, it is quite normal to expect that the uptrend is going to continue. But since Monday, September 5th, USDJPY has been nothing more than a disappointment. The […]

Foreseeing A Broken Trend Line in USDJPY

At the start of last week USDJPY was trading slightly above the 100.00 mark after falling from as high as 107.49 in mid-July. Usually, staying with the trend is a profitable approach, so basically, joining the bears would have made sense to most analysts. Usually, however, does not mean always, because no trend lasts forever. […]

All from Forex

S&P 500 Three Days Ahead of the Fed

The S&P 500 was very indecisive at the start of the week. The index has been moving sideways between 2130 and 2154 until Wednesday, when the bulls finally managed to break out of the consolidation and continue higher.  We even saw 2180, before today’s retreat, so those, who have been bullish near 2130 on Monday, must be […]

Catching the Phenomenal Reversal in S&P 500

It is only Tuesday and the S&P 500 is already stealing the show. After the sharp sell-off on Friday, the index made a sharp bullish reversal and climbed above 2161 yesterday. Friday’s news was blaming the Fed for the crash. Monday’s news says that stocks are rising despite the Fed. Apparently, following the news is not […]

DJIA Since The Great Depression, Our View

The financial world remembers the Great Depression of 1929-1932 as the most devastating period of the 20th century. Between September 1929 and July 1932, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plunged nearly 90%, from as high as 386 to slightly above 40. The crisis then spread to other countries before eventually taking over the whole world. And […]

Not the Time to Buy FTSE 100 Either

On June 24th, when it became clear that the majority of UK citizens wants the country to leave the European Union, the FTSE 100 fell sharply to 5741. However, it has been recovering ever since and is currently trading above 6680. Once again, trading the news did not prove to be the way to make money […]

All from Indices

Gold: Two Waves and the Reversal in Between

Gold was going down ever since it touched $1375. It made an attempt to reach those highs again in July, but did not succeed. Instead, the bears took control again, causing a plunge to as low as $1302.40 last week, breaching the previous low at $1310.70. Such a breakout has probably triggered a lot of selling […]

Gold or How to Predict a Brexit

Gold is considered to be a “safe haven” in times of uncertainty. So the common logic says that when something totally unexpected happens, such as Brexit, panicked investors buy gold to protect themselves from the falling prices in other markets, thus causing the price of the yellow metal to surge. So far so good. The […]

Gold: Did You Buy the Dip?

Gold has been doing great recently. The precious metal rose to as high as 1316 and having in mind the rally initially began from 1046, it is no wonder last week’s pullback from 1316 to 1276 was looking like a good ”buy the dip” opportunity to most people. Unfortunately, the price of gold tumbled even more […]

What Went Wrong for Gold?

What wont wrong for gold? Ever since the precious metal bottomed at $1046 in December, 2015, it has been steadily rising. Six months later, in the beginning of May, the price of gold rocketed to nearly $1304. And just when everyone thought the rally was going to continue even higher, the bears decided they have […]

All from Precious metals

Patient Intel Bulls Get Their Reward

Intel has been doing great recently. The stock fell to $27.67 in mid-February, but has been rallying ever since and even managed to exceed $38 a share last week. That is the investor’s dream – a recovery of over 30% in just seven months. In order to inform our readers about that great opportunity, we […]

First Horizon Stock Looks Ready to Jump

First Horizon National Corp., headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, is a large bank holding company, founded in 1864, during the American Civil War. But as the last stock market crash demonstrated, even companies with such a long history are not immune to the laws of the market cycle. Between February 2007 and July 2008, First Horizon stock […]

CVR Energy: Once in a Lifetime Opportunity

Crude oil took a hard hit during the last two years. A barrel cost more than $107 in June, 2014. By February, 2016, it was trading slightly above $26. The crash was so swift and severe, it seems hard to believe that the price of oil will ever rise above $100 a barrel again. Besides, […]

AMN Healthcare Has Some Falling to Do

AMN Healthcare is the largest healthcare staffing in the United States. It recruits healthcare professionals and places them in different working positions in the field of healthcare. AMN Healthcare Services Inc. investors saw its stock price changing for the better during the last five years. In October 2011 it fell to as low as $3.60. […]

All from Stocks

Crude Oil Walking the Elliott Wave Path

The price of crude oil initially rose to $44.68 on Monday, but then the bears took over again, which led to a decline to $43.05. But instead of continuing to the south, oil rebounded sharply up and is currently trading above the $46 mark. You might even think that the price is deliberately moving up […]

Elliott Wave and Oil’s Strong Come-Back

It was a roller-coaster week for crude oil prices. The market moved sharply up on Monday, September 5th, climbing to 46.51 during the European session. Then is suddenly fell back to 43.82. And just when it looked like the downtrend has resumed, the bulls returned to take oil to 47.72 on Thursday, September 8th. These […]

Crude Oil: A Vital Alternative Count

Crude Oil was timidly trying to recover in the beginning of March, after falling to as low as 26.03 a month earlier. Just 3 months later, in June, it nearly doubled, reaching the vicinity of 51.60 dollars a barrel. Most bears were probably feeling too enthusiastic about the downtrend, which has been in progress for about two […]

Amazing Elliott Wave Precision in Crude Oil

Last week, the price of crude oil fell to 43.02. This week, it seems determined to reach the 50-dollar mark. From surplus, through production cuts to supply shortages, it might seem impossible for traders to correctly interpret the plethora of news, which, according to the majority, leads to oil’s volatility. We have to admit it […]

All from Commodities

Negative Social Mood, Pegida’s Best Friend

“Fears are growing in Germany of a far-Right resurgence stoked by the refugee crisis, after nearly 20,000 took to the streets of Dresden in the biggest rally by the Pegida anti-immigrant movement for months.” – The Telegraph One of the speakers at the rally actually expressed regret that “the concentration camps are out of action”. […]

Even Apple has Socionomic Problems

In 1940s, Edward R. Dewey hypothesized, that the tallest buildings are usually completed after significant market peaks. Now, 74 years later, this hypothesis is a good addition to the socionomic theory. The new science of Socionomics, founded by Robert Prechter Jr. in 1979, postulates that social mood drives financial, macroeconomic, political and social behavior, in […]

What do Ferguson and Iraq have in common?

Have you been watching the news recently? If yes, then you have probably heard about the riots in Ferguson and the US airstrikes against the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). But what do these two conflict zones have in common? And what does the Market have to do with it? The riots in […]

Is another Arab Spring lurking ahead?

The Arab Spring is a wave of revolutions, demonstrations and civil conflicts, which struck mainly Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria during 2010 – 2013. Mostly, people were angry with decades of dictatorship and the violation of basic human rights. Many leaders had been forced from power. Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who held office for almost […]

All from Socionomics

EURAUD Could be Aiming at 1.51

The EURAUD pair has been in a downtrend for a month since February 11th. Then, on March 10th, the bulls woke up with a bang and lifted the exchange rate from 1.4465 to 1.5085 in just five hours. Today, EURAUD fell to as low as 1.4662, before climbing above 1.4850 so far. Which of the two […]

EURJPY Looking for Fibonacci Support?

The Elliott Wave Principle is a market forecasting method, based on pattern recognition. If an analyst is able to recognize a pattern on the chart and knows what should follow, he could as well be able to predict what the market is most likely to do next. That is what we are going to try […]

EURCAD’s Recent Weakness Deciphered

EURCAD surpassed the 1.61 mark on January 20th, but the bulls could not hold on to that momentum, which led to a sharp decline to 1.5245 just five days later. Currently, the pair stands slightly above 1.5415, but the recovery seems to be a timid one, not giving us enough confidence to “buy the dip”. […]

AUDJPY to Extend The Corrective Recovery

While the big picture outlook in AUDJPY remains clearly to the south, the smaller time frames may offer some short-term bullish swings. Elliott Wave patterns could be found on all degrees of trends, which gives us the opportunity to examine the 15-minute chart, in order to see if we could recognize something. It looks like […]

All from intraday