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"INSTINCT"

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This book is not about trading. It is about something much more important. The dark side of the Elliott Wave principle...

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Crude Oil Prices Dive Even as OPEC Cuts

Yesterday was an important day for crude oil traders, who have been waiting for OPEC to extend the production cuts in an effort to stabilize crude oil prices, whose recovery from below $30 a barrel still looks very fragile. OPEC countries did not disappoint and announced they have agreed to follow the output-cut deal at least […]

Bitcoin’s Crash and Its Elliott Wave Meaning

If the market was a human being, every psychiatrist would easily be able to diagnose it with bipolar disorder, but when it comes to Bitcoin, it is nothing short of schizophrenia. The market capitalization of the cryptocurrency more than doubled in less than a month, after its price climbed from $1348 at the start of […]

Bearing the Fruits of USDCAD’s Selloff

Earlier this month, on May 5th, USDCAD fell just 7 pips short of the 1.3800 mark and it looked like it is only a matter of time before the pair breaches this round figure. Then, the bulls suddenly got tired and their next attempt to lift the dollar to a new multi-month high against the Canadian dollar […]

How to Choose a Forex Broker

Here are the five main factors that you need to consider when choosing a Forex broker! 1. Pick a regulated and secure Forex broker Trust is the most important currency of all and that’s even more true when it comes to a giving your hard earned money to someone you don’t know. How can you […]

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Bearing the Fruits of USDCAD’s Selloff

Earlier this month, on May 5th, USDCAD fell just 7 pips short of the 1.3800 mark and it looked like it is only a matter of time before the pair breaches this round figure. Then, the bulls suddenly got tired and their next attempt to lift the dollar to a new multi-month high against the Canadian dollar […]

GBPAUD About to Change Direction

The GBPAUD exchange rate climbed to levels not seen since September, 2016. The pair is currently trading close to 1.7600, nearly 19 figures above the bottom at 1.5757 registered in October last year. Rising prices could be tempting, but also dangerous. In fact, the daily chart below suggests the British Pound is at a critical […]

USDCAD Approaching 1.3800 Target

USDCAD climbed to 1.3757 this Tuesday after the recovery from 1.3222 continued. The pair has been making higher highs and higher lows since mid-April after the bears could not even drag the rate below 1.3200. Instead, it seems to be approaching the 1.3800 – level not seen since February, 2016. Explanations for the surge vary wildly, […]

AUDNZD Bulls to Show Their True Power

Nearly a month ago, on April 6th, the AUDNZD exchange rate was trading close to 1.0820, after falling from as high as 1.1018. But instead of buying the dip right away, in an article called “AUDNZD Navigating Through Elliott Waves”, we suggested traders would be better off waiting for the pair to improve the risk/reward ratio […]

All from Forex

Price of Silver Could be Aiming at 22.00

The price of silver bottomed at 15.62 in the last month of 2016 and has been in an uptrend ever since. The precious metal is currently trading at $18.33, after recovering from its mid-March swing low. On the other hand, we could also say that the current price of silver is in the middle of […]

The Elliott Wave Logic in Gold’s Ups and Downs

There is a pattern to be found in gold’s seemingly random walk In the middle of last month, the price of gold was hovering around $1230 for a while. Then, on February 15th, it made a bottom at $1216.60 and started rising again. The optimism went on for a couple of weeks until the precious metal […]

Gold’s Sudden Crash Mystery Explained

It was all looking good for gold at the start of the week. The precious metal seemed ready to continue the recovery from $1123 after climbing to a new intraday high of $1220 on Tuesday, but unfortunately for the bulls, it was not meant to be. Instead, a long a sharp decline of nearly $40 […]

Gold Demands More Than Just a Forecast

After plunging to $1241 a month ago, gold finally managed to reach the $1300 mark again and is currently trading slightly above it. Expecting a recovery of over $60 is not an easy task, especially after a a slump of similar size. Fortunately, to Elliott Wave analysts, “not easy” does not mean impossible. Three weeks […]

All from Gold & Silver

Crude Oil Prices Dive Even as OPEC Cuts

Yesterday was an important day for crude oil traders, who have been waiting for OPEC to extend the production cuts in an effort to stabilize crude oil prices, whose recovery from below $30 a barrel still looks very fragile. OPEC countries did not disappoint and announced they have agreed to follow the output-cut deal at least […]

Crude Oil Soared Before Russia-Saudi Arabia Cuts

The price of WTI crude oil plunged from $53.74 to as low as $43.73 between April 12th and May 5th. This 10-dollar sell-off surely made the bears feel almighty, but instead of accelerating to the south, oil prices bounced up to close the week at $46.46. Before the market open the next Monday, May 8th, […]

Why the Tumble in WTI Crude Oil Prices?

Last week, WTI crude oil prices climbed to $53.74 a barrel, maintaining the uptrend from $47.08, which began a month ago. But instead of continuing to the north this week, the market tumbled to $50.06 yesterday, momentarily sparking the debate about the oil glut and ineffective OPEC supply cuts. But oversupply has been around for over two […]

Where Did That WTI Crude Rally Come From?

It recently became clear that OPEC members have not been following their own output cut agreement very strictly, which could be an explanation of WTI crude oil’s sharp decline to $47.03 by March 22nd. But despite the continuing supply glut, the price of oil today is higher than $50.30 a barrel, following a sharp recovery from […]

All from Crude Oil

Bitcoin’s Crash and Its Elliott Wave Meaning

If the market was a human being, every psychiatrist would easily be able to diagnose it with bipolar disorder, but when it comes to Bitcoin, it is nothing short of schizophrenia. The market capitalization of the cryptocurrency more than doubled in less than a month, after its price climbed from $1348 at the start of […]

Bitcoin Traders Prepare for Another Correction

Bitcoin traders took the price of the virtual currency to a new all-time high of $1623 on the Bitstamp exchange yesterday. Soon after that it fell by nearly $180 to $1444, before recovering to $1609 again. The cryptocurrency’s violent swings no longer surprise anyone and with Elliott Wave analysis, their direction is not such a mystery, as […]

Ethereum Ready for a Pullback?

Less than two years since its launch on July 30, 2015, ethereum has already become the second largest cryptocurrency in the world, with a market capitalization of roughly $4.5 billion, trailing only to bitcoin’s $20 billion. We are definitely not the people to ask how exactly the blockchain technology works, but ethereum’s decentralized nature means its price […]

Price of Bitcoin Short-Term Vulnerable

In our previous article about the cryptocurrency, titled “Bitcoin ETF Rejected by the SEC? No Problem!”, we expressed a bullish opinion, shortly after the price of bitcoin touched a low of $944. The positive outlook was motivated by the Elliott Wave interpretation of the 4-hour chart below. As visible, this chart made the classic 5-3 […]

All from Bitcoin

Nifty 50’s Bubble Just Keeps Inflating

Our previous analysis of the Indian Nifty 50 stock market index was published over seven months ago. On October 7th, 2016, the index was hovering slightly below 8700 and since the uptrend was still in progress, we thought a new all-time high should eventually be expected somewhere near 9200. Prices climbed to as high as 9 […]

SPX Selloff and Trump’s Political Mess

Calling for Donald Trump’s impeachment intensified after the President fired FBI’s director James Comey on May 9th in a move resembling Richard Nixon’s firing of special prosecutor Archibald Cox, who was appointed to investigate the Watergate scandal in 1973. A week later, as if to make things even worse, Trump allegedly revealed highly classified information to Russian […]

Bovespa Investors in for a Rough 2017

Prepare for more weakness in the Brazilian stock market Brazil’s investors finally took a breath last year. After several years of slow, but steady decline, the country’s benchmark Bovespa index rose from as low as 37 046 in January to as high as 65 291 in October. So, basically, 2016 has been a great year. […]

Nasdaq 6500 Within Bulls’ Grasp

Nasdaq’s early short sellers might come up short. Last week, the Nasdaq Composite index climbed to 5912, so if you are getting ready for the 6000 mark soon, you are probably not alone. Like the other two major U.S. stock market indices, the Nasdaq bottomed out in March, 2009, and has been rallying ever since. Its […]

All from Indices

Hewlett Packard Soars to Highs Not Seen Since 2011

It is not even Hewlett Packard anymore, but it still follows the Elliott Wave path Our last post about Hewlett Packard was published on August 26th, 2015. Since that time, the company split in two separate entities – HP Inc., selling personal computers and printers, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, which focuses on storage, servers, security and other corporate services. […]

BT Group Stock Not Done Falling Yet

Shares of BT Group, the London, UK-based communication services provider, have been under bearish jurisdiction since November, 2015, when prices reached $37.70 on the New York Stock Exchange. A year and a half later, investors’s enthusiasm has faded and the stock is currently trading near $20 a share. Generally, the Elliott Wave Principle is a […]

GOOGL Stock Is a Temptation to Resist

Alphabet Inc. topped $600 billion market capitalization, after its stock closed at a new all-time high of $888.84 per share yesterday. This, plus the fact that it is a great, highly profitable company, could easily tempt investors to jump on board, hoping that the best is yet to come. For the business, this is probably […]

Why We Are Still Avoiding eBay Stock

Our outlook on eBay has been negative since early 2015. And indeed, eBay stock went exactly nowhere, after moving up and down during the rest of 2015 and the first half of 2016. Things changed in the second half of last year when the bulls decided they have had enough and lifted the price to a new […]

All from Stocks

Negative Social Mood, Pegida’s Best Friend

“Fears are growing in Germany of a far-Right resurgence stoked by the refugee crisis, after nearly 20,000 took to the streets of Dresden in the biggest rally by the Pegida anti-immigrant movement for months.” – The Telegraph One of the speakers at the rally actually expressed regret that “the concentration camps are out of action”. […]

Even Apple has Socionomic Problems

In 1940s, Edward R. Dewey hypothesized, that the tallest buildings are usually completed after significant market peaks. Now, 74 years later, this hypothesis is a good addition to the socionomic theory. The new science of Socionomics, founded by Robert Prechter Jr. in 1979, postulates that social mood drives financial, macroeconomic, political and social behavior, in […]

What do Ferguson and Iraq have in common?

Have you been watching the news recently? If yes, then you have probably heard about the riots in Ferguson and the US airstrikes against the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). But what do these two conflict zones have in common? And what does the Market have to do with it? The riots in […]

Is another Arab Spring lurking ahead?

The Arab Spring is a wave of revolutions, demonstrations and civil conflicts, which struck mainly Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria during 2010 – 2013. Mostly, people were angry with decades of dictatorship and the violation of basic human rights. Many leaders had been forced from power. Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who held office for almost […]

All from Socionomics