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"INSTINCT"

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This book is not about trading. It is about something much more important. The dark side of the Elliott Wave principle...

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“Sell and Hold” Crude Oil Strategy

In our previous article you saw that a bearish reversal in the price trend of crude oil could be predicted, even when OPEC extends its production cuts agreement, which should normally be a bullish factor. It has been roughly 20 days since that post and oil’s plunge shows no signs of stopping. After falling to […]

ETHUSD’s Huge Surge Comes With Huge Risks

The price of Ethereum – the second biggest cryptocurrency by market capitalization – is currently hovering around $340 a coin, down from as high as $412 earlier this week. Despite the pullback, ETHUSD is still up by over 4100% since the start of 2017, which makes it the most likely candidate to take Bitcoin’s crown. […]

USDCAD: Ahead of The Slump of the Week

USDCAD opened at 1.3467 on Monday. Three days later, the pair fell by over 300 pips to as low as 1.3165. According to the media, the reason for the selloff was Bank of Canada’s sudden change of heart towards interest rates. At the start of 2017, the central bank was expected to lower the benchmark interest […]

GBPAUD Plunging Like There is No Tomorrow

It has been a little over a month since GBPAUD reached 1.7650 on May 10th. The day before, May 9th, we published “GBPAUD About to Change Direction”, sharing our Elliott Wave-based opinion, that instead of joining the bulls above 1.7600, traders should stay aside and get ready for a major bearish reversal. Here is the […]

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USDCAD: Ahead of The Slump of the Week

USDCAD opened at 1.3467 on Monday. Three days later, the pair fell by over 300 pips to as low as 1.3165. According to the media, the reason for the selloff was Bank of Canada’s sudden change of heart towards interest rates. At the start of 2017, the central bank was expected to lower the benchmark interest […]

GBPAUD Plunging Like There is No Tomorrow

It has been a little over a month since GBPAUD reached 1.7650 on May 10th. The day before, May 9th, we published “GBPAUD About to Change Direction”, sharing our Elliott Wave-based opinion, that instead of joining the bulls above 1.7600, traders should stay aside and get ready for a major bearish reversal. Here is the […]

GBPUSD Before and After the UK General Election

It is a bad day for Theresa May and GBPUSD bulls The first exit polls of Britain’s General Election show that despite their win, the Tories are losing their majority in the UK parliament. This is thought to be the worst possible outcome, because Theresa May will either have to form a minority government or resign. […]

USDJPY’s Dive and the Paris Climate Accord

The U.S. dollar continues to tumble against most of its rivals. The selloff is especially obvious against the Japanese yen, with the USDJPY pair declining from as high as 114.35 to as low as 109.56 as of today. The first possible explanation for the dollar’s plunge that comes into mind, is the United States withdrawal […]

All from Forex

Gold Surges. Save the Useless Explanations

The price of gold surged to $1296 yesterday, which is its highest level so far in 2017. Mainstream media says political tensions following the United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Climate Accord and Qatar’s isolation in the Middle East are among the reasons investors are buying gold and other precious metals, considered to be safe-haven assets. Explanations […]

Price of Silver Could be Aiming at 22.00

The price of silver bottomed at 15.62 in the last month of 2016 and has been in an uptrend ever since. The precious metal is currently trading at $18.33, after recovering from its mid-March swing low. On the other hand, we could also say that the current price of silver is in the middle of […]

The Elliott Wave Logic in Gold’s Ups and Downs

There is a pattern to be found in gold’s seemingly random walk In the middle of last month, the price of gold was hovering around $1230 for a while. Then, on February 15th, it made a bottom at $1216.60 and started rising again. The optimism went on for a couple of weeks until the precious metal […]

Gold’s Sudden Crash Mystery Explained

It was all looking good for gold at the start of the week. The precious metal seemed ready to continue the recovery from $1123 after climbing to a new intraday high of $1220 on Tuesday, but unfortunately for the bulls, it was not meant to be. Instead, a long a sharp decline of nearly $40 […]

All from Gold & Silver

“Sell and Hold” Crude Oil Strategy

In our previous article you saw that a bearish reversal in the price trend of crude oil could be predicted, even when OPEC extends its production cuts agreement, which should normally be a bullish factor. It has been roughly 20 days since that post and oil’s plunge shows no signs of stopping. After falling to […]

Crude Oil Prices Dive Even as OPEC Cuts

Yesterday was an important day for crude oil traders, who have been waiting for OPEC to extend the production cuts in an effort to stabilize crude oil prices, whose recovery from below $30 a barrel still looks very fragile. OPEC countries did not disappoint and announced they have agreed to follow the output-cut deal at least […]

Crude Oil Soared Before Russia-Saudi Arabia Cuts

The price of WTI crude oil plunged from $53.74 to as low as $43.73 between April 12th and May 5th. This 10-dollar sell-off surely made the bears feel almighty, but instead of accelerating to the south, oil prices bounced up to close the week at $46.46. Before the market open the next Monday, May 8th, […]

Why the Tumble in WTI Crude Oil Prices?

Last week, WTI crude oil prices climbed to $53.74 a barrel, maintaining the uptrend from $47.08, which began a month ago. But instead of continuing to the north this week, the market tumbled to $50.06 yesterday, momentarily sparking the debate about the oil glut and ineffective OPEC supply cuts. But oversupply has been around for over two […]

All from Crude Oil

ETHUSD’s Huge Surge Comes With Huge Risks

The price of Ethereum – the second biggest cryptocurrency by market capitalization – is currently hovering around $340 a coin, down from as high as $412 earlier this week. Despite the pullback, ETHUSD is still up by over 4100% since the start of 2017, which makes it the most likely candidate to take Bitcoin’s crown. […]

Bitcoin Bubble: Is It “Different This Time”?

Our first bullish outlook on the biggest cryptocurrency, titled “Bitcoin Hiding an Ace in the Sleeve” was published less than a year ago, on August 1st, 2016, when BTCUSD was trading near $620. It has been a wild ride, but ten months later, the price on most exchanges is hovering around $2900 per Bitcoin. And […]

Bitcoin’s Crash and Its Elliott Wave Meaning

If the market was a human being, every psychiatrist would easily be able to diagnose it with bipolar disorder, but when it comes to Bitcoin, it is nothing short of schizophrenia. The market capitalization of the cryptocurrency more than doubled in less than a month, after its price climbed from $1348 at the start of […]

Bitcoin Traders Prepare for Another Correction

Bitcoin traders took the price of the virtual currency to a new all-time high of $1623 on the Bitstamp exchange yesterday. Soon after that it fell by nearly $180 to $1444, before recovering to $1609 again. The cryptocurrency’s violent swings no longer surprise anyone and with Elliott Wave analysis, their direction is not such a mystery, as […]

All from Bitcoin

DAX 30: Time to Be Careful Now

“DAX 30: Stage is Set for a New All-Time High” was published on October 3rd, 2016. While the German benchmark index was trading close to 10 530, Elliott Wave analysis of its monthly chart made us believe the bulls are going to succeed at lifting it above 12 400 in the months ahead. That was over […]

Nifty 50’s Bubble Just Keeps Inflating

Our previous analysis of the Indian Nifty 50 stock market index was published over seven months ago. On October 7th, 2016, the index was hovering slightly below 8700 and since the uptrend was still in progress, we thought a new all-time high should eventually be expected somewhere near 9200. Prices climbed to as high as 9 […]

SPX Selloff and Trump’s Political Mess

Calling for Donald Trump’s impeachment intensified after the President fired FBI’s director James Comey on May 9th in a move resembling Richard Nixon’s firing of special prosecutor Archibald Cox, who was appointed to investigate the Watergate scandal in 1973. A week later, as if to make things even worse, Trump allegedly revealed highly classified information to Russian […]

Bovespa Investors in for a Rough 2017

Prepare for more weakness in the Brazilian stock market Brazil’s investors finally took a breath last year. After several years of slow, but steady decline, the country’s benchmark Bovespa index rose from as low as 37 046 in January to as high as 65 291 in October. So, basically, 2016 has been a great year. […]

All from Indices

Qualcomm’s Recovery Might Not Last Long

Shares of Qualcomm Inc., the San Diego, California-based chip-maker, have been on a tear since late-April, when the price touched $51.06. A little over a month later, the stock closed the last trading session at $58.58, representing a recovery of 14.7%. Many might see this rally as an invitation to grab shares in one of the […]

CVR Energy Stock Confirms the Bullish Case

It was September 12th, 2016, when we first wrote about CVR Energy stock. In that material we examined the stock’s long-term perspective from an Elliott Wave point of view and arrived to the conclusion that investors in the small-cap refiner should not feel discouraged from the recent price plunge, because its structure suggested it is […]

Hewlett Packard Soars to Highs Not Seen Since 2011

It is not even Hewlett Packard anymore, but it still follows the Elliott Wave path Our last post about Hewlett Packard was published on August 26th, 2015. Since that time, the company split in two separate entities – HP Inc., selling personal computers and printers, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, which focuses on storage, servers, security and other corporate services. […]

BT Group Stock Not Done Falling Yet

Shares of BT Group, the London, UK-based communication services provider, have been under bearish jurisdiction since November, 2015, when prices reached $37.70 on the New York Stock Exchange. A year and a half later, investors’s enthusiasm has faded and the stock is currently trading near $20 a share. Generally, the Elliott Wave Principle is a […]

All from Stocks

Negative Social Mood, Pegida’s Best Friend

“Fears are growing in Germany of a far-Right resurgence stoked by the refugee crisis, after nearly 20,000 took to the streets of Dresden in the biggest rally by the Pegida anti-immigrant movement for months.” – The Telegraph One of the speakers at the rally actually expressed regret that “the concentration camps are out of action”. […]

Even Apple has Socionomic Problems

In 1940s, Edward R. Dewey hypothesized, that the tallest buildings are usually completed after significant market peaks. Now, 74 years later, this hypothesis is a good addition to the socionomic theory. The new science of Socionomics, founded by Robert Prechter Jr. in 1979, postulates that social mood drives financial, macroeconomic, political and social behavior, in […]

What do Ferguson and Iraq have in common?

Have you been watching the news recently? If yes, then you have probably heard about the riots in Ferguson and the US airstrikes against the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). But what do these two conflict zones have in common? And what does the Market have to do with it? The riots in […]

Is another Arab Spring lurking ahead?

The Arab Spring is a wave of revolutions, demonstrations and civil conflicts, which struck mainly Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria during 2010 – 2013. Mostly, people were angry with decades of dictatorship and the violation of basic human rights. Many leaders had been forced from power. Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who held office for almost […]

All from Socionomics