On May 2nd 2014, “The Telegraph” published an article titled “Germany’s interest in Adolf Hitler at record levels”. Excerpts from it are given below.
“Germans are more interested in Adolf Hitler than at any time since the end of the Second World War, a new study has concluded.”
“The German Media Control research group, which monitors broadcasting, found that documentaries about Hitler are aired twice a day on German television channels and that books and films about the Nazi leader are being produced in record numbers.”
“It established that 242 programs dealing specifically with Hitler had been shown on television during the first four months of 2013, while 500 other films and documentaries that had dealt with the Nazi era in general had also been aired.”
“Some 2,000 books on Hitler were published in Germany last year.”
As a reason for this new interest in Adolf Hitler, Tony Paterson, author of the article, writes: “Sociologists have attributed the rise of interest in Hitler and the Nazis to the fact that the majority of today’s Germans have had no experience of the Second World War, are less ashamed of the period than previous generations and more eager to learn about it.”
This statement seems to be logical, if you do not ask the question “Why now?”. The Second World War ended in 1945, 69 years ago, so there have been many people without personal experience of it during those years, not only now in 2013-2014. Then why is this interest in Hitler culminating now? To answer this question we have to take a look at the problem from a socionomic point of view. The science of Socionomics, founded by Robert Prechter Jr. in 1979, postulates that social mood drives financial, macroeconomic and political behavior, in contrast to the conventional understanding that such events drive social mood. And since social mood is best registered by the stock prices, we will show you how the charts of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the German DAX look like and then we will try to find the parallels between now and the pre-war years until 1939.
As you can see, both indices took a hard hit during the stock market crash of 2007-2009. Both indices bottomed in March 2009 and have been in a strong uptrend for five years now. The keyword here is “five years”.
Now let’s move our attention back to the early 1930s of the 20th century. The Great Depression ended in 1933. Hitler was elected chancellor of Germany in the same year. His popularity peaked in 1938, five years after the end of The Great Depression, one year before the start of World War Two. Our point in this article is NOT that we are expecting World War Three soon. Our point in this article is that nationalism is a symptom. A symptom of negative social mood, which is depicted on the charts about five years earlier. This new interest in Hitler is another evidence of the repetitive nature of human mass psychology. History does not always repeat itself, but it often rhymes, so if one knows where to look for signs, he could be able to forecast future trends in politics, social activity, finance and many other fields of life.
Sources: The Telegraph
Images by: www.rawstory.com
Charts by: www.plus500.com
