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Cigna: Fundamental Analysis Simply Not Enough

Cigna Corporation has been one of the wonder stocks of the last 8 years. Shares of the health services organization gained from as low as 8 dollars a share in November, 2008, to as high as 170.68 in June, 2015. We are not even going to calculate those gains in percentage points. “A lot” is…

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DJIA Since The Great Depression, Our View

The financial world remembers the Great Depression of 1929-1932 as the most devastating period of the 20th century. Between September 1929 and July 1932, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plunged nearly 90%, from as high as 386 to slightly above 40. The crisis then spread to other countries before eventually taking over the whole world. And…

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Negative Social Mood, Pegida’s Best Friend

“Fears are growing in Germany of a far-Right resurgence stoked by the refugee crisis, after nearly 20,000 took to the streets of Dresden in the biggest rally by the Pegida anti-immigrant movement for months.” – The Telegraph One of the speakers at the rally actually expressed regret that “the concentration camps are out of action”.…

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ECB’s Quantitative Easing (QE) and Velocity

Why ECB quantitative easing program may not achieve the much needed results? If we follow the economic theory, an increase in the money supply should cause inflation and therefore price inflation. But here comes the tricky part. Most economists do not make the difference between these two concepts. Inflation is an increase in the overall money…

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The Wave Principle and “The Panic of 1907”

Have you ever heard of “The Panic of 1907”? Before the Great Depression of 1929-1933, 1907 was known as one of the worst years in the history of the stock market. Needless to say nobody saw it coming when the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed above the 100 dollar mark for the first time in January 1906.…

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Even Apple has Socionomic Problems

In 1940s, Edward R. Dewey hypothesized, that the tallest buildings are usually completed after significant market peaks. Now, 74 years later, this hypothesis is a good addition to the socionomic theory. The new science of Socionomics, founded by Robert Prechter Jr. in 1979, postulates that social mood drives financial, macroeconomic, political and social behavior, in…

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The Hidden Engine Behind Riots and Wars

Do you share the common belief that riots, civil unrest or political instability may and often do cause stock market declines? Yes, it makes sense. It seems logical and probably that is the reason why it is the explanation, which the large media offers you, when there is civil disobedience and the stock market of…

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What do Ferguson and Iraq have in common?

Have you been watching the news recently? If yes, then you have probably heard about the riots in Ferguson and the US airstrikes against the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). But what do these two conflict zones have in common? And what does the Market have to do with it? The riots in…

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Is another Arab Spring lurking ahead?

The Arab Spring is a wave of revolutions, demonstrations and civil conflicts, which struck mainly Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria during 2010 – 2013. Mostly, people were angry with decades of dictatorship and the violation of basic human rights. Many leaders had been forced from power. Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who held office for almost…

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Is Putin set to fail with the gold ruble?

People say that politics is complicated! Well, it is, but not so much, if you understand market behavior. It has been some time since the President of Russia Vladimir Putin has declared war on the US dollar, preparing to introduce the gold standard again. Russia is the world’s largest oil producer and lately a big…

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The World Cup, The Riots, The Market

If you are a football fan, probably you have been waiting for June 2014 since July 2010. And probably you are worried, that the riots in Brazil may ruin the World Cup. The news on all the media is getting from bad to worse as the rebellion is getting more and more severe with each…

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Cannabis indicator and what it means

Socionomics is the science of social prediction. By investigating social mood, reflected graphically on the financial markets, socionomists try to predict social behavior. Social mood is also reflected in different fields like politics, culture, construction and many others. We can use those indicators to determine the trend of social mood, and what is more important…

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Financial myths and Socionomics

Often we hear on the news how the big institutions like the European Central Bank, Federal Reserve and so on are making reforms and changing the market so the economy could get healthier and boost its growth. According to the world’s conspiracy theories, the world’s biggest families like the Rothschild, Rockefeller and Morgan or Illuminati…

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Hitler’s popularity is rising. Why?

On May 2nd 2014, “The Telegraph” published an article titled “Germany’s interest in Adolf Hitler at record levels”. Excerpts from it are given below. “Germans are more interested in Adolf Hitler than at any time since the end of the Second World War, a new study has concluded.” “The German Media Control research group, which…

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