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Natural Gas Does Not Care About Deals

“Natural gas prices could go down to 3.00 or even lower during the next year or two.” This is the final sentence in “Natural Gas Down Despite Russia-Ukraine. Why?”, which we published almost a year ago, on May 2nd, 2014, when natural gas was trading around 4.70. Ignoring the tension between Russia and Ukraine, we…

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What Is Fundamentally Wrong With Fundamentals?

Can you guess which country has the best-performing global stock market so far in 2015? Germany? Japan? USA? Nope. The Business Insider came up with the “surprising” answer yesterday. It is Russia. Yes, Russia – a country in a state of war, whose currency has been suffering terribly against the US dollar and the euro. If…

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The Hidden Engine Behind Riots and Wars

Do you share the common belief that riots, civil unrest or political instability may and often do cause stock market declines? Yes, it makes sense. It seems logical and probably that is the reason why it is the explanation, which the large media offers you, when there is civil disobedience and the stock market of…

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What do Ferguson and Iraq have in common?

Have you been watching the news recently? If yes, then you have probably heard about the riots in Ferguson and the US airstrikes against the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS). But what do these two conflict zones have in common? And what does the Market have to do with it? The riots in…

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Gold rose yesterday, the plane crash or Elliott?

First of all, before starting the analytical part of this article, we at EWM Interactive, would like to express our condolences to all relatives and friends of the 295 people, who found their death in this terrible tragedy. Can you predict the news of tomorrow?  Well, we cannot either. On July 15th we showed you…

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Russia’s MICEX rising despite the conflict, why?

“We will now use the opportunity to warn you, that the fundamentals are likely to be suggesting an endless bear market and the conflict will probably be at its worst. Prices should start rising despite all that.” This excerpt is from an article called “You do not have to wait for Crimea”, which we published on…

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Is another Arab Spring lurking ahead?

The Arab Spring is a wave of revolutions, demonstrations and civil conflicts, which struck mainly Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and Syria during 2010 – 2013. Mostly, people were angry with decades of dictatorship and the violation of basic human rights. Many leaders had been forced from power. Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak, who held office for almost…

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Hitler’s popularity is rising. Why?

On May 2nd 2014, “The Telegraph” published an article titled “Germany’s interest in Adolf Hitler at record levels”. Excerpts from it are given below. “Germans are more interested in Adolf Hitler than at any time since the end of the Second World War, a new study has concluded.” “The German Media Control research group, which…

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Natural Gas down despite Russia-Ukraine. Why?

The tension between Russia and Ukraine has been in the media for quite some time now. Usually when there is a conflict or some kind of a disaster somewhere and prices of oil, gold or gas are rising, reporters are constantly explaining how “the market reacted to the events”. But you do not hear the…

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You do not have to wait for Crimea

In our previous analysis on the Russian MICEX index we stated that the drop-off in the Russian stock market would have happened with or without the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Now we think that this market would soon start to recover, no matter how the conflict will end and no matter what the Crimea referendum will decide. We…

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Did we need a war in order to predict this? Russia

Tension between Ukraine and Russia has been rising for several weeks. Everyday you can hear all the media saying how the conflict is bringing the Russian stock market down. But did we need a war in order to predict this decline? Well, if we were fundamental analysts, the answer would have been undoubtedly “yes”. But…

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Socionomic perspective on wars and diseases

Socionomics, the science of social prediction, pioneered by Robert R. Prechter Jr., provides education and benefits individuals and institutions through a better understanding of the dynamics of social and cultural change. Trends in collective psychology play a key role in the Elliott Wave Theory. Happy and optimistic people buy stocks, while pessimistic people sell stocks.…

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