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Ahead of GBPUSD in Both Directions. Now What?

GBPUSD had a good run over the past six months, climbing from its 1.1412 March low to as high as 1.3483 last week. The pair is now back below 1.3000 after the latest portion of Brexit-related mess. Later in this article we will share our view of where the Pound is headed against the dollar,…

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GBPUSD Aiming at 1.30, but May Tumble to 1.21 First

Not long ago, we shared our long-term view of GBPUSD. In our opinion, the down-phase of the pair’s cycle, which is in its 13th year now, is almost over. One last dip to 1.1000 is likely to be followed by a major bearish reversal and the start of the next up-phase. Now, we are going…

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British Pound ‘s 13-Year Downtrend Almost Over

The thirteen-year period between 2007 and 2020 started with the biggest crisis since the Great Depression and is about to end with the biggest crisis since the Great Depression. Between the two, the longest economic expansion on record took place. And while stock markets around the world reflected that recovery, some currencies have been in…

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GBPUSD Completes Pattern, Uptrend to Resume

When we last wrote about GBPUSD Britain was still an EU member. Today, that is no longer the case as the country left the Union on January 31st. On the other hand, the pair is roughly unchanged, currently hovering around 1.2900. In fact, GBPUSD has been tracking a classic Elliott Wave pattern. Take a look…

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GBPUSD To Resume Uptrend Once Correction Ends

The Brexit saga continues as Boris Johnson’s re-election puts Britain firmly on the path of leaving the EU on January 31st 2020. And while the results of the June 2016 referendum caused a crash to 1.1650 by October 2016, GBPUSD is trading near 1.3100 today. The chart below reveals the structure of the recent recovery…

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GBPUSD, Time to Hold Your Horses

Ever since it fell to as low as 1.2774 on August 24th, GBPUSD has been steadily rising. Today, the pair climbed as high as 1.3353 after it became clear that the Bank of England was getting ready for a rate hike later this year. The long-term economic logic behind the Pound’s jump is clear. Higher…

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GBPUSD Winning Strike Coming to an End?

GBPUSD bulls managed to take a breath after the pair recovered from as low as 1.2774 to almost 1.3000. Unfortunately, there is no way to know what this means without taking a look at the big picture and see where does this recovery fit into it. Should we join the bulls or get ready for…

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GBPUSD’s Clear Pattern Makes 1.30 a Target

GBPUSD climbed to 1.3267 at the start of August, but the bulls’ dreams of reaching even higher levels were destroyed, when the pair reversed to the south for what turned out to be a selloff of over 430 pips – the pair fell to 1.2831 on Friday. Today is Monday and the Pound is in…

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GBPUSD Before and After the UK General Election

It is a bad day for Theresa May and GBPUSD bulls The first exit polls of Britain’s General Election show that despite their win, the Tories are losing their majority in the UK parliament. This is thought to be the worst possible outcome, because Theresa May will either have to form a minority government or resign.…

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Pound Dollar Months Ahead of Brexit Talks

Or why having an Elliott Wave guide at hand is better than guessing the news GBPUSD has been moving sideways since the “Flash Crash” in early-October, 2016.  During the next six months, the pound dollar pair has been locked in a contracting pattern even the novice technical analyst can recognize. We are talking about the…

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4 Pairs Before and After the Fed Rate Hike

Predicting the Fed rate hike is not the same as predicting the market’s reaction to it The benchmark interest rate of the Federal Reserve is now 1% after the central bank hiked by 25 basis points on Wednesday. And while the Fed rate hike was virtually guaranteed, the Forex market’s reaction to it came as a…

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GBPUSD Before and After the Giveaway

GBPUSD regained negative bias at the start of February and has been losing ground ever since. After forming a top at 1.2706 a month ago, the pair fell to as low as 1.2214 at one moment today and is currently trading near 1.2240. It is interesting to notice that roughly half of this 490+ pip decline happened…

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Theresa May Only Did the Bulls’ Dirty Work

It has been a wild ride for GBPUSD this week. The pair initially opened with a huge gap to the downside, following Theresa May’s “Hard Brexit” comments, but then reversed to the north to climb from as low as 1.1987 on Monday to as high as 1.2414 on Tuesday. It turned out that those, who…

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GBPUSD: How to Anticipate Fake Breakouts

We saw a lot of those so-called “fake breakouts” in GBPUSD during the last two weeks. On January 3rd, the pair fell to 1.2199, only a pip below the previous swing low of 1.2200, but just enough to activate a lot of sell orders. Unfortunately, the bears gave up right away, allowing the bulls to lift…

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GBPUSD and the Unreliable Trend Line

GBPUSD is back in bearish mode after it fell to as low as 1.2245 today. That is 530 pips below the high of 1.2774 reached two weeks ago. While most people would say the Fed’s decision to raise rates is the reason for the pair’s plunge, we think that GBPUSD would have plunged with or…

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