close icon

S&P 500: Is “Black Monday” Appropriate?

They called it a “Black Monday” again. Every time the stock market crashes unexpectedly, they call it “black” day. It sounds good in the titles. It makes people click on the link and read the article. But what does it mean? An unexpected big sell-off, right? It seems the key word here is “unexpected”. But if one expected it, should he still call it “black”?
On April 21st, 2015, we published “S&P 500 Ready For 15 Percent Correction?”. The title speaks for itself. While S&P 500 was trading above 2100, we were preparing for a major decline. On the daily chart of the index there was an almost finished ending diagonal.
black monday s&p500 daily 21.4.15
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, this pattern is followed by a “swift and sharp” reversal. In other words, once wave 5 of (5) of III was over, the S&P 500 was supposed to “fall by roughly 300 points to around 1850”. The next chart shows what has happened since that forecast.
black monday s&p 500 daily 24.8.15
They called it a “Black Monday”, because they did not expect the S&P 500 to fall as low as 1833. But Elliotticians did, so should we call it “black” too? No. In our opinion, the whole decline from 2136 to 1833 is just a natural correction, which could have been, and was, predicted. A good example of the Wave principle’s forecasting capabilities.

Stay informed with our newsletter

Latest Elliott Wave analysis on different topics delivered to you weekly.

Privacy policy
You may also like:

Dow Jones Sends a Warning Investors Can’t Ignore

The price movements of financial instruments form repetitive patterns, called Elliott waves. Experienced analysts try to recognize those patterns in order to prepare for the next market move. Sometimes, a pattern can indicate not only one, but the next two consecutive moves. The triangle pattern, for instance, is known to precede the last wave of…

Read More »

DAX 30 Adds to Global Recession Fears

The German DAX 30 index has been declining since early July when it reached 12 656. Last week’s news that the German economy shrank by 0.1% in the second quarter only added to global recession fears. The benchmark index of Europe’s largest economy fell to 11 266 on August 15th. Are investors’ concerns warranted? Or…

Read More »

Dare to Guess the Best Stock Market Index of 2019?

The first half of 2019 saw stock market indices around the globe rebound sharply. In the U.S., NASDAQ, DJIA and the S&P 500 are up 22.7%, 14.8% and 18.9% since the start of the year, respectively. In Europe, the German DAX and France’s CAC 40 both climbed 17.8%, UK’s FTSE 100 surged by 12% and…

Read More »

Is the Dow Jones Transports Signaling a Recession?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average usually gets the most attention, but it is the Dow Jones Transports that often gives the early signs of trouble. Transport and delivery companies are the first to find out when there is a slowdown in global trade. And in some cases, a slowdown evolves into a full-blown recession. Despite…

Read More »

DXY Bulls Should Worry as Bearish Evidence Abounds

The bulls have been in control of DXY during most of 2018 and gradually conquered more land in the first months of 2019, as well. The USD index recovered from its February 2018 low of 88.25 to as high as 98.33 last month. The bulls can really be proud with the total gain of over…

Read More »

NASDAQ Bulls’ Resiliency has its Limitations

The NASDAQ 100 index closed at a new all-time high of 7826 last week, powered by strong Q1 earnings reports by Amazon and Microsoft, among others. The index is up by 650% from its 2009 low and by 884% since the bottom of the dot-com crash in October 2002. Looking at than phenomenal growth, one…

Read More »

Nifty 50 to Fall Below 10 000 Level Again?

It has been almost five months since our last update on the Indian Nifty 50 index. On September 25th, the benchmark was trading around 11 000, following a pullback from the all-time high of 11 760. Still, the Elliott Wave analysis below suggested it was too early to buy the dip. The daily chart of…

Read More »

More analyses