Everything was going so well for USDJPY and crude oil bulls until last week, when both the exchange rate and the WTI crude price made sharp bearish reversals. Oil fell from as high as $72.88 to $67.40 a barrel, while USDJPY plunged from 111.40 to 108.95. Normally, the media tried to explain the selloffs with…
Trade War Fears Shrugged Off by USDJPY
Less than a month ago, USDJPY was trading below 105.00 after plunging to 104.64. The media hurried to explain the dollar’s weakness against the Japanese yen with the looming trade war between the United States and China. Today, a trade war between the two largest economies is a near certainty, after China threatened to fight…
USDJPY’s Sudden Change of Heart Explained
Not too long ago, on November 6th, the U.S. dollar climbed to as high as 114.73 against the Japanese yen, which was its highest level since mid-March. But instead of maintaining the bullish momentum, USDJPY had a sudden change of heart and reversed to the south. Two trading weeks later, the pair closed slightly above…
USDJPY’s Chart Was Bullish Three Weeks Ago
Less than a month ago, on October 16th, USDJPY fell to 111.65 and it looked like more weakness would follow. Instead, the pair is currently trading above 114.30, after it climbed to 114.73 yesterday, November 6th. The good news is that traders did not have to watch from the sidelines, because the Elliott Wave Principle…
GBPJPY On Its Elliott Wave Way to 160?
Despite the fact that volatility drops significantly during the summer, obviously not everyone was on vacation, because on August 9th we received an on demand order to make an Elliott Wave analysis of GBPJPY. Back then, the pair was hovering around 142.50 and has been moving sideways between 148.50 and 135.60 for more than half…
USDJPY False Breakout Right On Schedule
USDJPY’s rally from 108.80 came to its natural end last week, when the pair climbed to 114.50. The rate exceeded the mid-May high of 114.36 for what is usually called a “bullish breakout.” Unfortunately, instead of rising even more, the U.S. dollar reversed sharply to the south to reach 111.55 yesterday for a decline of almost 300…
USDJPY’s Dive and the Paris Climate Accord
The U.S. dollar continues to tumble against most of its rivals. The selloff is especially obvious against the Japanese yen, with the USDJPY pair declining from as high as 114.35 to as low as 109.56 as of today. The first possible explanation for the dollar’s plunge that comes into mind, is the United States withdrawal…
Trump Has Nothing to Do With USDJPY’s Reversal
Donald J. Trump officially sworn as the 45th president of the United States yesterday. And if the stock market remained relatively calm during the week of his inauguration, the USDJPY pair has been very interesting to watch. After opening at 114.31 on Monday, it fell to 112.56, before bouncing back up to 115.61, only to close…
GBPJPY a Slave to an Elliott Wave Pattern
On December 15th GBPJPY climbed to 148.45 – the culmination of a rally, dating back to October 7th, when the pair fell to as low as 122.64. Unfortunately, just when it seemed that the bulls are holding the wheel, the bears somehow managed to prevail and drag the rate 600 pips lower – to 142.48 as…
CHFJPY Approaching Fibonacci Resistance
It has been over five months since CHFJPY began recovering from as low as 101.74 in June. During this time, the pair managed to gain over 1000 pips and is currently trading slightly above 111.00. This impressive rally might make most people think it is time to join the new uptrend before it is too…
Riding GBPJPY’s Post-Election Rally
GBPJPY bulls must be very pleased with what November brought them. The pair has been steadily rising since the U.S. election, which caused a decline to 126.70. Nine days later, today GBPJPY climbed to as high as 137.57 and is currently hovering around 137.10. Could this impressive rally be predicted, especially after the strongly negative…
USDJPY and the Sudden Bullslaughter
Last Friday, October 28th, USDJPY rose to a high of 105.53, but eventually closed the week at 104.71. The trend was clearly up since the end of September and Friday’s dip was probably embraced by the bulls as another buying opportunity. Unfortunately for them, 105.53 turned out to be a major top. Instead of continuing to…
USDJPY Has No Respect For Bearish Opinions
USDJPY is having a good run recently. The pair started the week from 101.17, but quickly gained traction and is currently trading above 103.60. Despite the fact that it has been in a strong downtrend since June 2015, USDJPY, it turns out, could still offer bullish opportunities. In order to get advantage of them, the…
Who Saw USDJPY’s Crash Coming?
Last week, the USDJPY pair opened at 102.02 and undertook an impressive rally to 104.31, before settling at 104.01 for the weekend. After such an impressive bullish run, it is quite normal to expect that the uptrend is going to continue. But since Monday, September 5th, USDJPY has been nothing more than a disappointment. The…
Foreseeing A Broken Trend Line in USDJPY
At the start of last week USDJPY was trading slightly above the 100.00 mark after falling from as high as 107.49 in mid-July. Usually, staying with the trend is a profitable approach, so basically, joining the bears would have made sense to most analysts. Usually, however, does not mean always, because no trend lasts forever.…
