HollyFrontier Corp. is an independent petroleum refiner with a market cap of roughly $8.8 billion. The stock reached an all-time high of $83.28 a share in June 2018. By late-May 2019, it was barely able to hold above $37, losing nearly 55% in just one year. However, HFC recovered significantly in the last four months.…
NVR Stock Vulnerable to a 50% Elliott Wave Correction
NVR Inc. constructs and sells single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings. NVR stock is up by ~1100% since March 2009, climbing from $310 to roughly $3700 a share. Not bad for a company operating in one of the hardest hit sectors during the Financial Crisis. However, NVR stock lost 67% between July 2005 and…
Realty Income Pattern Sets the Stage for a 40% Drop
Realty Income Corp. is a REIT dedicated to delivering dependable monthly dividends to investors. The company owns over 5900 real estate properties and has a market value of roughly $23.5 billion. Adjusted for splits, it went public in 1994 at $8 and reached an all-time high of $76.73 two days ago. Not counting the dividends,…
GBPAUD Elliott Wave Setup Supports the Bears
Between July 30th and August 26th, GBPAUD managed to recover from 1.7561 to 1.8337. Despite the no-deal Brexit prospects, the Australian dollar turned out to be even weaker than its British rival for almost a month. However, GBPAUD is down by roughly 400 pips since August 26th. Traders are probably wondering if this is a…
Crude Oil Bears Needed a Spark. Trump Threw a Bomb
The price of crude oil recorded its biggest daily decline in four years Thursday after President Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods. The U.S.-China trade war has been unfolding during most of Trump’s presidency. With the 2020 elections approaching, many thought a trade deal might be in the…
Pandora ‘s Jewelry Hasn’t Lost Its Shine
According to Pandora A/S’ 2017 annual report, the Copenhagen-based company is the “leader in the affordable jewelry segment and the largest producer of jewelry worldwide in terms of pieces crafted.” That leading position paired with double digit average earnings growth in recent years convinced many investors the company was a one-way ticket to riches. So, they…
Dare to Guess the Best Stock Market Index of 2019?
The first half of 2019 saw stock market indices around the globe rebound sharply. In the U.S., NASDAQ, DJIA and the S&P 500 are up 22.7%, 14.8% and 18.9% since the start of the year, respectively. In Europe, the German DAX and France’s CAC 40 both climbed 17.8%, UK’s FTSE 100 surged by 12% and…
Palladium Gets Interesting as it Approaches New High
Two months ago, the price of palladium was hovering around $1425 following a recovery from as low as $1325. Unfortunately for the bulls, the structure of the decline from $1615 to $1325 suggested still lower targets were plausible. The chart below, published on April 21st, visualizes the reason for our pessimism. The hourly chart of…
JPMorgan: Risk is High After 10 Years of Bull Market
Between March 2000 and March 2009, JPMorgan Chase & Co. investors saw their holdings’ value decline by almost 78% as the stock fell from over $67 to less than $15 a share. The next ten years, on the other hand, have been a wonder to behold. JPM stock rose like a phoenix from its ashes,…
Humana Stock Bulls Haven’t Lost the Battle Yet
Humana (NYSE:HUM) climbed to an all-time high of $356 in early November 2018, following a rally from as low as $18.57 in March 2009. In less than ten years, the company rewarded the patience of its investors with a total return of over 1820%, not counting dividends. Unfortunately, the last six months were nothing like…
DXY Bulls Should Worry as Bearish Evidence Abounds
The bulls have been in control of DXY during most of 2018 and gradually conquered more land in the first months of 2019, as well. The USD index recovered from its February 2018 low of 88.25 to as high as 98.33 last month. The bulls can really be proud with the total gain of over…
T Rowe Price Vulnerable After Fibonacci Encounter
Founded in 1937 and based in Baltimore, Maryland, T Rowe Price is one of the largest asset management companies in the world. At the end of Q1 2019 its assets under management stood at $1.11T. That is T for trillion. Besides, T Rowe Price is also a public company which is why it is of…
Copper Bulls Ready to Attack the $3 Mark?
A little over a months ago the price of copper was hovering above $2.92/lb., following a recovery from under $2.53/lb. For better or worse, trend-following has never been our favorite strategy. So instead of joining the bulls in anticipation of more strength ahead, we examined copper’s 2-hour price chart through the prism of the Elliott…
USDJPY: Analyze, Prepare, then Let the Market Decide
USDJPY reached its higher level so far in 2019 yesterday. The pair climbed to 112.166, extending its recovery from the 109.71 bottom formed last month. But the bulls didn’t always look that confident. Just a week ago, the pair was hovering around 111.15, down from 111.83 five days earlier. Instead of forming an opinion based…
OLED Stock can Halve if Rejected at Fibonacci Level
Universal Display (NASDAQ:OLED) stock is hot again. The share price is up by over 90% in less than two months, climbing from under $79 to above $151 since January 3rd. But is the bulls’ optimism warranted? Six months ago, on August 15th 2018, we examined OLED stock through the prism of the Elliott Wave principle.…
