The S&P 500 crashed by as much as 35% in just one month. And while the coronavirus outbreak was totally unpredictable, the crash it caused made perfect sense. Elliott Wave is our favorite method of analysis, but as the market kept rising we decided to back it up with fundamental data. The result was a…
Burlington Bears Returned with a Vengeance
Along with airlines and travel, retail has been among the industries hit the hardest by the coronavirus epidemic. Social distancing policies to contain the spread of the disease resulted in mall and store closures around the world. Burlington Stores is one of many victims. BURL stock exceeded $250 a share in mid-February 2020. A month…
3i Stock Selloff Stopped by Fibonacci Support Level
3i stock was hovering around 1100 pence per share when we wrote about it in late-October 2019. The stock was up almost 1000% in ten years and few thought it was vulnerable to a significant decline. That was five months ago – before the coronavirus pandemic and the global stock market crash it triggered. But…
S&P 500, Against All Logic, Re-Enters Bull Market
The coronavirus pandemic forced the global economy to grind to a halt. Major U.S. stock market indices made their fastest plunge into bear market in history. In less than two months, DJIA and the S&P 500 lost 38.4% and 35.4%, respectively. “The virus is just starting to spread in the United States, the market is…
Rational Stock Got Cut in Half. Is the Pain Over?
The last time we wrote about Rational AG was on February 5th. The stock had just reached an all-time high of 740 euro a share in January following a 17-year uptrend. With the price hovering around 690 at the time, new records seemed to be just a matter of time. On the other hand, no…
Ulta Beauty Looks Attractive Amid COVID-19 Recession
In response to the spreading COVID-19 epidemic, Ulta Beauty decided Tuesday to join many other businesses in closing its stores across the U.S. Even without that drastic measure, social distancing was going to hurt Ulta’s business anyway. Sensing where things were going, the market pushed Ulta stock down very quickly. ULTA was trading above $300…
Dow Jones Transports Ready for a Rebound?
The coronavirus pandemic is wreaking havoc on the global economy. Governments are closing malls, restaurants and literally all kinds of social gathering places, and even putting entire cities on lockdown. In the meantime, stock market indices are in free fall. The S&P 500 is down 28.7% YTD and the Dow Jones Industrials lost 35.2% since…
SEIC Stock Enters Elliott Wave Buy Zone
Four months ago, we published an article on SEI Investments (NASDAQ:SEIC), saying that the “stock can lose half its value in a recession.” At the time of writing, November 5th, 2019, the economy was still firing on all cylinders and most analysts saw nothing but blue skies. And indeed, the unemployment rate was at a…
Three Years Ahead of the COVID-19 Airlines Disaster
As the coronavirus pandemic rages on, governments are taking measures to restrict unnecessary travel and mass gatherings. The airlines sector is probably the one being hit the hardest by the restrictions. The high fixed costs and huge debt loads of the airlines make them extremely vulnerable to economic downturns. With international and domestic travel on…
Nikkei Down 30% on COVID-19 Fears. Time to Buy?
The last time we looked at the Japanese Nikkei 225 was on November 19th, 2019. The index was comfortably trading above 23 400 and the uptrend seemed very healthy, on the surface at least. And indeed, in December, the price reached 24 116. However, the fact that prices have been rising in the past didn’t…
Five Months Ahead of HollyFrontier ‘s Collapse
Oil stocks plunged across the board Monday following an epic OPEC+ negotiations failure. The price of oil was down over 31% yesterday after Saudi Arabia launched an all-out price war. One of the many casualties was HollyFrontier, which we covered over five months ago. HFC tumbled almost 16% to close Monday’s session at $24.10. And…
Disney Stock’s Weakness Exposed by COVID-19 Panic
The coronavirus panic caused indiscriminate selling of almost every stock, regardless of the underlying company’s position. Among the hardest hit blue chip stocks was Walt Disney. The bearish logic behind the 28% selloff is that a big part of Disney’s revenue comes from its movies and parks. People fearful of infection would rather stay home…
Bank of America Lost 30%, but Sent a Warning First
The coronavirus panic coupled with the Fed’s emergency 50 basis points rate cut sent bank stocks plunging very quickly. Bank of America, one of the “too big to fail”, is down almost 30% from its December 2019 high. However, BAC is in a much better financial shape than ten years ago. In fact, the company…
COVID-19 De-Risks Royal Caribbean Stock
COVID-19, or the coronavirus as it is commonly known, is taking its toll on the travel industry. Cruise ship operators are among the hardest hit as ports refuse docking to ships with infected passengers on board. The share price of Royal Caribbean Cruises, for example, is down over 52% in less than two months. The…
Walgreens Stock Dips Below $45 as KKR Deal Stalls
We last wrote about Walgreens stock on November 11th, 2019. Shares were hovering around $62 after news that KKR’s was willing to take the company private. It was going to be the largest leveraged buyout in history. We, on the other hand, were more interested in what was going to happen with the stock in…
