Everything was going so well for USDJPY and crude oil bulls until last week, when both the exchange rate and the WTI crude price made sharp bearish reversals. Oil fell from as high as $72.88 to $67.40 a barrel, while USDJPY plunged from 111.40 to 108.95. Normally, the media tried to explain the selloffs with…
WTI Crude Oil Knocking on a Major High’s Door
Between January 25th and February 9th, WTI crude oil’s price plunged from $66.62 to $58.06 a barrel, losing 12.8% in just 12 trading days. What the bears did in just over two weeks, the bulls needed a month and a half to recover from. Finally, oil prices climbed to $66.52 earlier today, following last week’s…
USDCAD and Crude Oil Abandon Negative Correlation
Between 2000 and 2016, USDCAD and crude oil had a negative correlation in 93% of the time. Canada is one of the world’s biggest oil producers and the largest oil supplier to the United States. So, when U.S. demand for oil rises, demand for Canadian dollars rises, as well, thus hurting the USDCAD exchange rate.…
Crude Oil Finally Reaches the $60 Mark
As WTI crude oil approaches the $60 mark, we could conclude that it was not a smooth ride at all. The price has been wandering between $55 and $59 for nearly two months until it finally broke out of this range to reach levels not seen since late-June, 2015. A month ago the price surpassed…
Ahead of WTI Crude Oil’s Two-Year High
The price of WTI crude oil surpassed the $58 a barrel mark this week. The last time it traded at that level was in June, 2015, when the oil crash was still in full swing. Almost two and a half years later, the bulls’ efforts are finally being rewarded. It has not been a smooth…
Crude Oil Ignores Hurricane Nate and Slips
Here we go again. The last time hurricanes had something to do with crude oil, the price of the commodity, according to popular media, was rising because producers were bracing for Irma, whose record-breaking winds were going to severely disrupt production. That at least made sense at the time. Now, oil producers are preparing for…
Crude Oil Finally Rewards Stubborn Bulls
If you were bullish on the price of crude oil, last week was nothing short of wonderful for you. The commodity opened the weekly trading session at $47.57 and after a small dip to the round number of $47, it climbed to as high as $50.47 a barrel, exceeding the previous major high of $50.40,…
Crude Oil on the Path of the Hurricanes
As if Harvey was not enough, the United States now braces for Irma, which in turn is expected to be followed by Jose and Katia. Irma is considered to be the strongest hurricane ever to hit the shores of the U.S.. Its winds are blowing at speeds higher than 185 mp/h (300 km/h), enough to…
Good News for Crude Oil, Good News for Elliotticians
It has been a good week for bullish crude oil traders so far, who saw the price of WTI move from $45.63 on Monday to as high as $48.40 as of this writing on Wednesday. According to MarketWatch, the rally has been driven by two main factors – OPEC and, more importantly, “news of cuts…
“Sell and Hold” Crude Oil Strategy
In our previous article you saw that a bearish reversal in the price trend of crude oil could be predicted, even when OPEC extends its production cuts agreement, which should normally be a bullish factor. It has been roughly 20 days since that post and oil’s plunge shows no signs of stopping. After falling to…
Crude Oil Prices Dive Even as OPEC Cuts
Yesterday was an important day for crude oil traders, who have been waiting for OPEC to extend the production cuts in an effort to stabilize crude oil prices, whose recovery from below $30 a barrel still looks very fragile. OPEC countries did not disappoint and announced they have agreed to follow the output-cut deal at least…
Crude Oil Soared Before Russia-Saudi Arabia Cuts
The price of WTI crude oil plunged from $53.74 to as low as $43.73 between April 12th and May 5th. This 10-dollar sell-off surely made the bears feel almighty, but instead of accelerating to the south, oil prices bounced up to close the week at $46.46. Before the market open the next Monday, May 8th,…
Why the Tumble in WTI Crude Oil Prices?
Last week, WTI crude oil prices climbed to $53.74 a barrel, maintaining the uptrend from $47.08, which began a month ago. But instead of continuing to the north this week, the market tumbled to $50.06 yesterday, momentarily sparking the debate about the oil glut and ineffective OPEC supply cuts. But oversupply has been around for over two…
Where Did That WTI Crude Rally Come From?
It recently became clear that OPEC members have not been following their own output cut agreement very strictly, which could be an explanation of WTI crude oil’s sharp decline to $47.03 by March 22nd. But despite the continuing supply glut, the price of oil today is higher than $50.30 a barrel, following a sharp recovery from…
Avoiding Oil’s Fake Breakout Trap
“The current pullback is likely to take crude oil prices down to $50.50, before the bulls return…” This was the last sentence of the premium crude oil analysis we sent to clients five days ago, before the markets opened on Monday, January 9th. Crude oil closed at $53.68 on Friday, January 6th, after a recovery…
