Earlier this month we published an article about AUDNZD, sharing two slightly different, but both bullish counts, which are supposed to eventually lift the pair to 1.1500 or higher. It is too early to say how this is going, but at least the short-term outlook seems to support the bigger picture. AUDNZD has been declining…
USDCAD Walks the Path to Month-Old Target
USDCAD bulls proved how stubborn they could be by lifting the pair to a one-year high, despite the numerous bearish interventions along the way. During the last month, USDCAD has been slowly progressing in a choppy and overlapping manner as U.S. – Canada relations took a turn for the worse following the G7 summit. The…
Dollar Index, Hold Your Horses (Bulls)
Three months ago, while the dollar index was trading below the 90.00 mark following another selloff, we published an Elliott Wave analysis suggesting the bulls were ready to stop the bleeding and lift the index to the resistance area of 95.00. The chart below was what led us to conclude a bullish reversal was on…
AUDNZD Bulls Have a Decision to Make
It has been almost two years since we examined the weekly chart of AUDNZD and concluded that the pair was likely to “Throw a Surprise Bulls Party”. And indeed, the Australian dollar managed to climb to 1.1290 against the New Zealand counterpart by October 2017. Unfortunately, that was the best the bulls were capable of…
Crude Oil and USDJPY Ruled by One Pattern
Everything was going so well for USDJPY and crude oil bulls until last week, when both the exchange rate and the WTI crude price made sharp bearish reversals. Oil fell from as high as $72.88 to $67.40 a barrel, while USDJPY plunged from 111.40 to 108.95. Normally, the media tried to explain the selloffs with…
USDMXN Precisely Followed Its Elliott Wave Path
It has been almost four months since we last wrote about USDMXN. On January 30th, the pair was hovering around 18.70, following a sharp selloff from 19.90 to 18.30. The good news was that instead of wondering what the Dollar-Mexican Peso exchange rate was going to do next, we managed to recognize a very reliable Elliott…
GBPAUD On a Slippery Slope Towards 1.53
If you take a look at how GBPAUD has been doing between October 2016 and March 2018 you might think Brexit never happened. The British pound rallied from as low as 1.5322 to 1.8509 against the Australian dollar, gaining almost 21% in those 18 months. As of this writing, the pair is hovering around 1.7720,…
USDZAR Facing Elliott Wave Resistance Near 13.00
USDZAR, the ticker symbol of the U.S. Dollar – South African Rand Forex pair, is not among the ones we regularly cover. However, we are constantly looking for article material, so when a client asked us if we could take a look at it, we told him – no problem. The only thing we needed…
EURCAD Bulls Setting Up a 400-Pip Recovery?
The European currency has had a tough time recently, losing ground against major rivals like the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen. Here we are going to examine the Euro’s drop against the Canadian dollar, which has been in progress since March 20th, when EURCAD climbed to a multi-year high of 1.6153. The last time…
EURUSD: The Evolution of an Elliott Wave Count
Less than three months ago, on February 16th, the EURUSD pair climbed to a three-year high of 1.2556. Given the fact that Euro bulls have been in control during the entire 2017, it made sense to expect more strength from the European currency against the U.S. dollar. In addition, after four months of negotiations, in…
AUDUSD: A Bearish Omen Half a Century in the Making
AUDUSD climbed to 1.1079 in July 2011 and has been steadily declining ever since. In mid-January 2016, the pair fell to as low as 0.6826 and as of this writing it is still in the doldrums, hovering around 0.7560. After a 38% crash in less than five years, one might think it is time for…
Trade War Fears Shrugged Off by USDJPY
Less than a month ago, USDJPY was trading below 105.00 after plunging to 104.64. The media hurried to explain the dollar’s weakness against the Japanese yen with the looming trade war between the United States and China. Today, a trade war between the two largest economies is a near certainty, after China threatened to fight…
USDCAD Selloff: Non-Farm Payrolls Just an Excuse
The last time we wrote about USDCAD, it was hovering around 1.29, after a decline from 1.3125. In a video, published on March 28th, we demonstrated how Elliott Wave traders got ahead of the bearish reversal that occurred a week earlier. Two weeks later now, the bulls are yet to find a way to fight…
EURCHF Vulnerable to Bearish Attacks
EURCHF fell to 1.1447 on February 8th, but has been steadily recovering ever since. By March 28th, the pair was already testing the resistance near 1.1800, but could not breach it from the first try and fell to 1.1732 earlier today. Should we expect the next attempt soon, or maybe the bulls would need more…
USDCAD Bears Land a Heavy, but Predictable Punch
1.2900 has been a tough nut to crack for USDCAD bulls. First, they failed to breach it in late-October 2017. Then they tried again a month later, but the attempt was once again unsuccessful. The third try was in mid-December 2017, but after a swift touch of 1.2921, the pair plunged to as low as…
