The Brexit saga continues as Boris Johnson’s re-election puts Britain firmly on the path of leaving the EU on January 31st 2020. And while the results of the June 2016 referendum caused a crash to 1.1650 by October 2016, GBPUSD is trading near 1.3100 today. The chart below reveals the structure of the recent recovery…
GBPCAD Can Reach 1.9000 Before the Bears Return
GBPCAD bulls have been on a roll the past four months. The pair is currently trading above 1.7330, up 9.1% from its early-August low of 1.5875. And while the Forex market is not the place to rely on a trend for very long, it is not uncommon for GBPCAD to make large moves in either…
EURAUD Impulse Pattern Keeps the Bulls in Charge
Twenty days ago, EURAUD managed to stop the bleeding and form a bottom at 1.5976. As of this writing the pair trades around 1.6250 after reaching 1.6324 on November 20th. Is the uptrend still in progress or should we prepare for the bears’ return? A look at EURAUD ‘s hourly chart through an Elliott Wave…
EURUSD Turns Up Ahead of Brexit Talks Breakthrough
EURUSD is up by 260 pips since the beginning of October. The pair climbed from 1.0879 to 1.1140 in just 14 trading days. The rally appears to be fueled by optimism regarding a possible Brexit deal and the tentative “phase-one” agreement between the US and China. In our opinion, however, there is something more to…
USDJPY Pattern Makes More Sense than Politics
The last two weeks were different like night and day for USDJPY traders. The pair fell from 108.47 to 106.48 during the first three days of October and eventually closed the week in negative territory. The last five trading days, on the other hand, told a much different story. Last week, USDJPY rose from 106.66…
GBPAUD Elliott Wave Setup Supports the Bears
Between July 30th and August 26th, GBPAUD managed to recover from 1.7561 to 1.8337. Despite the no-deal Brexit prospects, the Australian dollar turned out to be even weaker than its British rival for almost a month. However, GBPAUD is down by roughly 400 pips since August 26th. Traders are probably wondering if this is a…
EURUSD Absorbs Economic, Trade War and G-7 News
EURUSD made a new low last week. The pair fell to as low as 1.0963 on Friday adding to the downtrend it has been trading in since February 2018. The last time the European currency traded this low against the greenback was in May 2017. The last few months have been characterized by new lows,…
Trump Didn’t Drag USDJPY Down. Elliott Wave Did
USDJPY plunged sharply last week after President Trump’s latest China tariff threats. The pair reached a high of 109.32 on Wednesday, July 31st, but finished the week below 106.60 on Friday. However, just because something happens after something else, it doesn’t mean there is causation between the two. In USDJPY’s case, the stage was set…
GBPNZD Falls as No-Deal Brexit Looms
The possibility of a no-deal Brexit received another boost after Boris Johnson became Prime Minister of the UK. The market, however, doesn’t seem to like those prospects. The Pound Sterling has been losing ground against the Euro, the Aussie, the US dollar and other rival currencies. GBPNZD is down, too. Less than three months ago,…
USDCNH Looks Bearish in the Midst of a Trade War
Less than a month ago USDCNH rose to 6.9621 and it looked like reaching a new multi-year high above 7.0000 was only a matter of time. Unfortunately for the bulls the market chose otherwise. USDCNH fell to 6.8164 on the last day of June. As of this writing, the pair is hovering around 6.8755 following…
USDCHF Bears in Charge. Time for a New Key Level
On May 30th USDCHF was trading near 1.0100 in an attempt to recover from a decline from 1.0238 to 1.0009. The bulls had managed to add more than 90 pips and seemed determined to get the job done. Unfortunately for them, there was an Elliott Wave pattern suggesting their efforts were most likely going to…
EURUSD Bulls Needed a Catalyst. Mr. Powell Obliged
EURUSD was trading near 1.1170 at the start of last week. The pair was close to levels last seen two years ago and most expected the slide to continue. But then, on June 4th, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell implied the Central Bank is considering interest rate cuts in response to trade issues. By Friday, June…
USDCHF Elliott Wave Pattern and a Key Level to Watch
The Swiss franc was among the very few currencies that managed to stand their ground against the U.S dollar in May. USDCHF reached 1.0238 in late-April. The last time the pair traded this high was in January 2017, two and a half years ago. Unfortunately for the bulls, a 230-pip decline dragged the rate back…
USDTRY – Is 8.0000 the Bulls’ Ultimate Target?
The U.S. dollar has been on a tear since the Financial crisis, rising against rivals both big and small. One currency that was hit especially hard is the Turkish lira. USDTRY was down to less than 1.1500 in 2008. Ten years later, in August 2018, it slightly breached 7.1500. Political and macroeconomic factors have certainly…
DXY Bulls Should Worry as Bearish Evidence Abounds
The bulls have been in control of DXY during most of 2018 and gradually conquered more land in the first months of 2019, as well. The USD index recovered from its February 2018 low of 88.25 to as high as 98.33 last month. The bulls can really be proud with the total gain of over…
