The Federal Reserve announced yesterday it is keeping the interest rate unchanged, a move that was largely anticipated. However, 2017 is still expected to see another rate hike with three more coming in 2018. Following the news, the dollar strengthened against its major rivals. The EURUSD pair crashed from above 1.2030 to 1.1860 in less…
Ever since it fell to as low as 1.2774 on August 24th, GBPUSD has been steadily rising. Today, the pair climbed as high as 1.3353 after it became clear that the Bank of England was getting ready for a rate hike later this year. The long-term economic logic behind the Pound’s jump is clear. Higher…
It has been a rough 2017 for USDCNH bulls so far. The pair has been in an uptrend since January, 2014, but it feels as if it was simply waiting for the calendar to change. The dollar climbed to as high as 6.9872 in late-December, 2016. Nine months later, it is down by 6.6% to…
GBPUSD bulls managed to take a breath after the pair recovered from as low as 1.2774 to almost 1.3000. Unfortunately, there is no way to know what this means without taking a look at the big picture and see where does this recovery fit into it. Should we join the bulls or get ready for…
The Euro climbed to its highest level against the U.S. dollar since January 2015 after ECB President Mario Draghi expressed optimism about the Eurozone’s economic prospects in his speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. At least this is the reason mainstream media uses to explain the sudden surge in EURUSD. In our opinion, though, the…
GBPUSD climbed to 1.3267 at the start of August, but the bulls’ dreams of reaching even higher levels were destroyed, when the pair reversed to the south for what turned out to be a selloff of over 430 pips – the pair fell to 1.2831 on Friday. Today is Monday and the Pound is in…
USDJPY’s rally from 108.80 came to its natural end last week, when the pair climbed to 114.50. The rate exceeded the mid-May high of 114.36 for what is usually called a “bullish breakout.” Unfortunately, instead of rising even more, the U.S. dollar reversed sharply to the south to reach 111.55 yesterday for a decline of almost 300…
Last week, the Bank of Canada raised the interest rate for the first time in seven years, thus reinforcing the downtrend in USDCAD, which has been in progress since the top at 1.3793 in May. In this respect, the hike itself is hardly the reason for anything. Despite the fact that the U.S. dollar lost over 200…
EURGBP has been rising for over two months now. The pair’s journey to the north began from 0.8313 in mid-April and did not stop until 0.8879 was reached on June 28th. However, everything comes to an end and the euro’s rally against the pound is unlikely to be an exception. In fact, judging from the…
The last time we wrote about GBPCAD was almost half a year ago. On January 16th, 2017, the pair was hovering around its lowest level since July, 2013, after a decline from 2.0972 to as low as 1.5736. Usually, trading in the direction of the larger trend is a good strategy. Except when it is…
It has been another bad week for USDCAD, which opened at 1.3259 on Monday and plunged to as low as 1.2971 today. The major reason behind the dollar’s weakness, according to mainstream media, is the increased likelihood of rate hikes outside of the United States, including Canada, which would offset the Fed’s highly anticipated tightening. In our…
USDCAD opened at 1.3467 on Monday. Three days later, the pair fell by over 300 pips to as low as 1.3165. According to the media, the reason for the selloff was Bank of Canada’s sudden change of heart towards interest rates. At the start of 2017, the central bank was expected to lower the benchmark interest…
It has been a little over a month since GBPAUD reached 1.7650 on May 10th. The day before, May 9th, we published “GBPAUD About to Change Direction”, sharing our Elliott Wave-based opinion, that instead of joining the bulls above 1.7600, traders should stay aside and get ready for a major bearish reversal. Here is the…
It is a bad day for Theresa May and GBPUSD bulls The first exit polls of Britain’s General Election show that despite their win, the Tories are losing their majority in the UK parliament. This is thought to be the worst possible outcome, because Theresa May will either have to form a minority government or resign.…
The U.S. dollar continues to tumble against most of its rivals. The selloff is especially obvious against the Japanese yen, with the USDJPY pair declining from as high as 114.35 to as low as 109.56 as of today. The first possible explanation for the dollar’s plunge that comes into mind, is the United States withdrawal…
