Last week, when most major currencies like the euro, the Canadian dollar and the British pound (not to mention the Turkish lira) fell against the U.S. dollar, one currency managed not only to hold its ground, but to actually gain some against the greenback. The Japanese yen ‘s rise dragged the USDJPY pair down to…
Two Months Ahead of EURUSD ‘s Turkey-Driven Selloff
EURUSD’s selloff has resumed. The pair fell to as low as 1.1432 earlier today, following a Financial Times report stating the European Central Bank is concerned about some European banks’ exposure to Turkey’s currency crisis. Spain’s BBVA, Italy’s Unicredit, and France’s BNP Paribas were among the big names mentioned in the report. Now, let’s see how…
AUDNZD Gains 500 Pips After Fibonacci Encounter
AUDNZD shot up sharply today, following a statement from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand that cemented the country’s interest rate at its current level for the foreseeable future. The pair was trading below the 1.1000 mark before the announcement, but rose to 1.1175 shortly after it. However, if you have been following our publications…
GBPJPY Bears Remove a Major Hurdle
It has been less than 20 days since our last update on GBPJPY. On July 20th we shared our view that the pair is “looking into the hard Brexit abyss” and while the pair was trading around 146.20, we concluded that much lower levels should be expected. Of course, the bearish outlook was not based…
USDCAD Down After a Tricky Elliott Wave Pattern
USDCAD climbed to 1.3290 on July 19th, but instead of lifting the pair even higher, the bulls lost momentum. A bearish reversal followed as a result. By July 25th, when we had to send our next update to subscribers, USDCAD was down to 1.3135. Was it a buy-the-dip opportunity or the beginning of a bigger…
USDMXN Set to Recover, but Remains Vulnerable
It has been a painful month and a half for USDMXN bulls. The pair was almost touching the 21.00 mark on June 15th, when the bears returned with a vengeance to drag it to as low as 18.58 for an 11.3% plunge by July 26th. Some explain the strength of the Mexican Peso with the…
GBPJPY Looking Into the Hard Brexit Abyss?
Our last update of GBPJPY came out on December 5th, 2017. It was focused on the long-term perspective and based on the daily chart of the pair, which did not look very encouraging for the bulls at the time to say the least. While the pair was trading above 151.10, the Elliott Wave Principle suggested…
USDCAD Lost Over 300 Pips in Two Weeks. Here is Why
USDCAD climbed to 1.3386 on June 27th, which was its highest level in over a year. But instead of moving on to 1.3400 and above, the bulls stepped aside and allowed the bears to drag the pair to as low as 1.3077 on July 6th. And while this slump can be explained with the surge…
AUDCAD Bulls Not Giving Up on Their Parity Dreams
Nine days ago, while AUDCAD was trading at 0.9820 on June 20th, we found a textbook 5-3 Elliott Wave pattern on its hourly chart, which suggested the bulls were going to lift the pair to parity in the next couple of weeks. And indeed, a rally occurred shortly after, but the resistance near 0.9930 did…
AUDCAD Paving the Elliott Wave Road to Parity
Yesterday, we wrote about a pattern spotted on the chart of the Australian dollar against the New Zealand counterpart. Today, the Aussie is once again in focus, but this time against another one of its major rivals – the Canadian dollar. AUDCAD fell from 0.9935 to 0.9739 in just ten trading days this month. But…
AUDNZD Bears Bumping into Fibonacci Support
Earlier this month we published an article about AUDNZD, sharing two slightly different, but both bullish counts, which are supposed to eventually lift the pair to 1.1500 or higher. It is too early to say how this is going, but at least the short-term outlook seems to support the bigger picture. AUDNZD has been declining…
USDCAD Walks the Path to Month-Old Target
USDCAD bulls proved how stubborn they could be by lifting the pair to a one-year high, despite the numerous bearish interventions along the way. During the last month, USDCAD has been slowly progressing in a choppy and overlapping manner as U.S. – Canada relations took a turn for the worse following the G7 summit. The…
Dollar Index, Hold Your Horses (Bulls)
Three months ago, while the dollar index was trading below the 90.00 mark following another selloff, we published an Elliott Wave analysis suggesting the bulls were ready to stop the bleeding and lift the index to the resistance area of 95.00. The chart below was what led us to conclude a bullish reversal was on…
AUDNZD Bulls Have a Decision to Make
It has been almost two years since we examined the weekly chart of AUDNZD and concluded that the pair was likely to “Throw a Surprise Bulls Party”. And indeed, the Australian dollar managed to climb to 1.1290 against the New Zealand counterpart by October 2017. Unfortunately, that was the best the bulls were capable of…
Crude Oil and USDJPY Ruled by One Pattern
Everything was going so well for USDJPY and crude oil bulls until last week, when both the exchange rate and the WTI crude price made sharp bearish reversals. Oil fell from as high as $72.88 to $67.40 a barrel, while USDJPY plunged from 111.40 to 108.95. Normally, the media tried to explain the selloffs with…
