USDJPY plunged sharply last week after President Trump’s latest China tariff threats. The pair reached a high of 109.32 on Wednesday, July 31st, but finished the week below 106.60 on Friday. However, just because something happens after something else, it doesn’t mean there is causation between the two. In USDJPY’s case, the stage was set…
GBPNZD Falls as No-Deal Brexit Looms
The possibility of a no-deal Brexit received another boost after Boris Johnson became Prime Minister of the UK. The market, however, doesn’t seem to like those prospects. The Pound Sterling has been losing ground against the Euro, the Aussie, the US dollar and other rival currencies. GBPNZD is down, too. Less than three months ago,…
USDCNH Looks Bearish in the Midst of a Trade War
Less than a month ago USDCNH rose to 6.9621 and it looked like reaching a new multi-year high above 7.0000 was only a matter of time. Unfortunately for the bulls the market chose otherwise. USDCNH fell to 6.8164 on the last day of June. As of this writing, the pair is hovering around 6.8755 following…
USDCHF Bears in Charge. Time for a New Key Level
On May 30th USDCHF was trading near 1.0100 in an attempt to recover from a decline from 1.0238 to 1.0009. The bulls had managed to add more than 90 pips and seemed determined to get the job done. Unfortunately for them, there was an Elliott Wave pattern suggesting their efforts were most likely going to…
EURUSD Bulls Needed a Catalyst. Mr. Powell Obliged
EURUSD was trading near 1.1170 at the start of last week. The pair was close to levels last seen two years ago and most expected the slide to continue. But then, on June 4th, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell implied the Central Bank is considering interest rate cuts in response to trade issues. By Friday, June…
USDCHF Elliott Wave Pattern and a Key Level to Watch
The Swiss franc was among the very few currencies that managed to stand their ground against the U.S dollar in May. USDCHF reached 1.0238 in late-April. The last time the pair traded this high was in January 2017, two and a half years ago. Unfortunately for the bulls, a 230-pip decline dragged the rate back…
USDTRY – Is 8.0000 the Bulls’ Ultimate Target?
The U.S. dollar has been on a tear since the Financial crisis, rising against rivals both big and small. One currency that was hit especially hard is the Turkish lira. USDTRY was down to less than 1.1500 in 2008. Ten years later, in August 2018, it slightly breached 7.1500. Political and macroeconomic factors have certainly…
DXY Bulls Should Worry as Bearish Evidence Abounds
The bulls have been in control of DXY during most of 2018 and gradually conquered more land in the first months of 2019, as well. The USD index recovered from its February 2018 low of 88.25 to as high as 98.33 last month. The bulls can really be proud with the total gain of over…
USDCNH Before and After Trump’s Tariff Threat
The negotiations between the two biggest economies are not going as well as investors hoped. Stock market indices are down across the board following President Trump’s new China tariff threat. Another side-effect was the sharp rally to over 6.82 in USDCNH. And while Trump’s tweet about China did, indeed, trigger the surge, the actual reason…
USDJPY: Analyze, Prepare, then Let the Market Decide
USDJPY reached its higher level so far in 2019 yesterday. The pair climbed to 112.166, extending its recovery from the 109.71 bottom formed last month. But the bulls didn’t always look that confident. Just a week ago, the pair was hovering around 111.15, down from 111.83 five days earlier. Instead of forming an opinion based…
USDJPY Proves You Don’t Need to Pick Tops/Bottoms
USDJPY closed at 111.72 last week and is now within striking distance of its 2019 high of 112.14. But just two weeks ago, the pair was down to less than 110.00 after a sharp selloff from 111.70. Instead of joining the bears simply because the price was falling, we looked for an Elliott Wave pattern…
USDCNH Elliott Wave Pattern Points to Recovery
Less than five months ago, on November 1st 2018, the U.S. dollar climbed to 6.9806 against the Chinese yuan, following a sharp rally from as low as 6.2359 in March. Unfortunately for bulls, USDCNH couldn’t maintain the positive momentum. As of this writing, it is hovering around 6.7200. In order to find out if the…
NZDUSD Bulls Choosing a Path to 0.7000
Less than three months ago, on January 7th, we published an analysis of NZDUSD. It was trading near 0.6750 at the time, following a sharp decline from 0.6970. However, instead of simply extrapolating the selloff into the future, we examined the chart below through an Elliott Wave perspective. And it gave us a few reasons…
USDJPY: How to Buy and Hold a Forex Pair
USDJPY has been in recovery mode since the “flash crash” on January 3rd. The pair plunged to as low as 104.82 that day, but the bears couldn’t maintain their momentum. The market reached 112.14 on March 5th for a rally of over 730 pips. Of course, picking up all of it would have been pure…
USDCAD Bears Paying the Price for Failing at 1.3069
A week ago, USDCAD was barely holding above 1.3100. The pair was still in the doldrums following a steep decline from its late-December high of 1.3665 and it appeared the bears had no intention of leaving. But in order to confirm their ambitions to drag USDCAD even lower, they first had to deal with the…
