close icon

Stay Worried About Tesla Stock

Just when Elon Musk’s Tesla is about to start delivering its first mass-production electric vehicle – the Model 3 – to clients, the stock suddenly dropped from an all-time high of $387 to $303 in just two trading weeks. The price managed to rebound and is currently hovering around $323 a share. However, the company still lack virtually all the traits of a strong business, so Tesla remains the poster child of an emotion-driven market. People do not invest in Tesla because it is a good business, they do it because it is a good story filled with optimism about the future. Therefore, the Elliott Wave Principle, the best method for analyzing market psychology we know of, is even more applicable here. According to it, Tesla’s decline is not over yet.

tesla elliott wave analysis

The hourly chart of Tesla stock allows us to see that the structure of the recent crash forms what Elliott Wave analysts call an “impulse“. This is a five-wave pattern, which indicates the direction of a larger move in progress. Every impulse is followed by a correction of three waves in the other direction. Once the correction is over, the trend resumes. It is also interesting to see that the sub-waves of waves 1 and 3 of (A) are clearly visible, as well.

This means two things: first, Tesla stock has reversed to the downside, which is more or less obvious, and second, the bears are not done yet. It is true that wave (B) is likely going to lift the price higher, but as long as the top at $387 is intact, wave (C) down should be expected to drag TSLA below the bottom of wave (A). In other words, chances are the $300 mark is going to be breached.



Stay informed with our newsletter

Latest Elliott Wave analysis on different topics delivered to you weekly.

Privacy policy
You may also like:

MongoDB – Bearish Pattern Joins Nosebleed Valuation

MongoDB Inc. is a general purpose database platform developer and provider. The company was founded in 2007, but only came public ten years later – in 2017. During the following four years, the stock has risen from an IPO price of $33 to $515 a share as of last week. So, it is fair to…

Read More »

Pandora Does Things Right. Stock May Need a Breather

When we wrote our previous article on Danish jewelry maker Pandora in December, 2020, the stock was up over three-fold since March. That recovery from DKK 180 to DKK 651 didn’t not come out of the blue, though. It was the result of a bullish setup we managed to identify as early as July 2019.…

Read More »

Match ‘s SP500 Inclusion a Good Excuse to Reach $200

Match Group Inc. rose over 10% in post-market trading Friday following reports that it is going to be included in the S&P 500. The company, which owns Tinder, OkCupid and most other major dating apps in the U.S., has a market cap of over $41B. Despite the anticipated “summer of love”, though, this is not…

Read More »

Cameco Stock Seems to Have Finally Turned a Corner

Uranium spot prices are on the verge of breaking above $34/lb, up over 80% from the bottom of $18/lb reached in late-2016. Cameco, as one of the world’s top uranium producers, is now seeing its stock price rising in tandem. Yesterday, it closed at $19.16 after reaching $21.95 in June. We first covered Cameco in…

Read More »

A Fresh Look At Cigna ‘s Elliott Wave Super Cycle

In a case study article on Cigna, published in October, 2016, we examined how a fundamentally sound and undervalued stock can still drop nearly 90%. The reason for that crash didn’t lie in some company specific issue. Rather it happened to occur during the biggest financial crisis in 80 years. Nevertheless, we made the point…

Read More »

CBOE Takeover Rumor Lifts Stock to Elliott Wave Target

We first wrote about CBOE Global Markets less than eight months ago. The S&P 500 had already recouped all its COVID selloff losses and was hovering at new all-time highs. CBOE, in contrast, was still down 30% from its 2018 record, trading below $97 a share. For some reason, the market was ignoring the company’s…

Read More »

Ahead of Ulta Beauty ‘s 150% Gain Since Lockdown

Buying shares in a beauty retailer in March 2020 sounded like a crazy, stupid idea. Stock markets around the world were plunging at a record pace amid a global GDP crash resulting from government-enforced lockdowns. People were stockpiling necessities in preparations not to leave their homes in the foreseeable future. With COVID-19 cases rising everywhere,…

Read More »

More analyses