Gold topped at 1285 and went down in five-waves to 1258. This means that the rally, which is currently in progress should be only a correction. Every correction consists of three waves, so it seems that there is one more swing higher left, before the decline resumes in wave (3)/C. Ideally, prices would find resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci level around 1275. Even if gold extends its gains above this zone, the bearish count remains valid, as long as 1285 holds.
The price of copper is known to reflect the state of the world economy. It is closely related to infrastructure and manufacturing spending, which tend to increase during a strong economy and contract in a weak one. So it is a little surprising to see copper prices rally in the middle of the greatest crisis…
Yesterday, we shared our bullish stance on Freeport-McMoran stock. But of course, Freeport-McMoran is pretty much a pure copper play. Therefore, in order for the stock to climb, the price of copper must climb, as well. Similarly to Freeport stock, the price of copper rose between 2016 and 2018 and has been declining for the…
Two months ago, the price of palladium was hovering around $1425 following a recovery from as low as $1325. Unfortunately for the bulls, the structure of the decline from $1615 to $1325 suggested still lower targets were plausible. The chart below, published on April 21st, visualizes the reason for our pessimism. The hourly chart of…
A little over a months ago the price of copper was hovering above $2.92/lb., following a recovery from under $2.53/lb. For better or worse, trend-following has never been our favorite strategy. So instead of joining the bulls in anticipation of more strength ahead, we examined copper’s 2-hour price chart through the prism of the Elliott…
The price of palladium rose significantly during the months between August 2018 to February 2019. By mid-March 2019, it was up nearly 52% from the August 2018 lows, climbing to an all-time high of $1615.30. The industrial metal’s wide use in the auto industry as well as its growing popularity in the jewelry business are…
Similarly to the general commodity market, copper has been steadily climbing during the first quarter of 2019. Three months ago, the price of the industrial metal fell to $2.5281/lb. As of this writing, it is hovering around $2.9266 after reaching $2.9808 on the last day of March. According to the media, copper’s rally can be…
It has been only a week since our last update on natural gas, but what an eventful week it was. On September 27th, the price was hovering around $2.99, following a recovery from $2.759 to as high as $3.088. The Elliott Wave Principle, which had previously put us ahead of that rally, this time suggested…
