close icon

Gold Demands More Than Just a Forecast

After plunging to $1241 a month ago, gold finally managed to reach the $1300 mark again and is currently trading slightly above it. Expecting a recovery of over $60 is not an easy task, especially after a a slump of similar size. Fortunately, to Elliott Wave analysts, “not easy” does not mean impossible. Three weeks ago, on October 17th, we sent our premium clients the following chart.
3-gold-4h
Gold’s 4-hour chart shows that the precious metal’s rally did not come out of the blue after all. The Wave Principle allowed us to see that the decline between $1375 and $1241 is actually an (a)-(b)-(c) zig-zag correction with a triangle in wave (b). Furthermore, wave (c) was exactly 161.8% the length of wave (a), which made us think the low at $1241 is likely to be a major one. So, while gold was trading around $1251, our clients put their stop-loss orders at $1241, which gave them a buying opportunity with an extremely good risk/reward ratio. The next chart shows how things went.
gold-4-11-16
It looks like easy profits now, but gold did not go up right away. There was a slow and choppy period at first, which could have discouraged many traders. That is where the Wave Principle shines, because it helps you identify a specific stop-loss level and as long as it is safe, the odds are still in you favor. The other things a trader needs are patience and the discipline to stick to the plan. These two vital elements, for better or worse, are entirely in our own hands.



Stay informed with our newsletter

Latest Elliott Wave analysis on different topics delivered to you weekly.

Privacy policy
You may also like:

Silver Price Going for $19 Before Retracing to $16

The price of silver, otherwise known as a safe-haven asset along with gold, crashed sharply as the coronavirus panic swept equity markets. XAGUSD fell to $11.64 on March 18th just as investors needed a refuge the most. But the precious metal has appreciated significantly since the depths of the selloff. As of this writing, silver…

Read More »

Gold is Crashing. Elliott Wave Somehow Predicted It

Common sense dictates that in a time of crisis demand for safe-haven assets jumps. The price of gold, for instance, the most sought-after asset in difficult periods, climbed to an all-time high of $1921 shortly after the 2008-9 market crash. This time though, as the world economy is on the verge of grinding to a…

Read More »

Gold Fails as a Safe Haven Amid Coronavirus Panic

The S&P 500 was down 14.4% for the week at one point Friday on fears the coronavirus outbreak is going to become a worldwide pandemic. It is common knowledge that investors turn to gold when stocks and other risky assets decline. Last week, however, that wasn’t the case. While stock markets around the globe were…

Read More »

Silver Bears Discouraged by Fibonacci Encounter

We last wrote about silver in March 2019, when the precious metal was hovering slightly above $15. Our analysis of its 4-hour chart gave us plenty of reasons for optimism. And indeed, six months later in September the price reached $19.65. Currently, silver is trading near $17.75, up from $16.53, but still down from that…

Read More »

Gold ‘s Surge and US-Iran Have Little In Common

Gold climbed to a six-year high on rising tensions between the US and Iran following the assassination of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani. The safe-haven asset reached $1590 earlier today as #WorldWarThree started to emerge on Twitter. We hope WWIII remains just a hashtag. In the meantime, we are once again baffled by how the media…

Read More »

Gold Traders Better Off Ignoring the News

In our previous article about the precious metal readers saw how the Elliott Wave principle put us ahead of gold ‘s $72-decline from $1531 to $1459. In short, the hourly chart made us think a three-wave decline from $1555 was still in progress. Hence, the bears remained in charge and more weakness could be expected.…

Read More »

Explaining Gold ‘s Weakness With Elliott Wave Logic

Gold bulls suffered in four of the last five daily trading sessions. A week ago, on September 24th, the price of gold briefly exceeded $1535. Earlier today, it touched $1459 before recovering to $1466 as of this writing. In the meantime, global economic growth is slowing and several recession indicators are flashing red; In what…

Read More »

More analyses