close icon

AUDCAD Paving the Elliott Wave Road to Parity

Yesterday, we wrote about a pattern spotted on the chart of the Australian dollar against the New Zealand counterpart. Today, the Aussie is once again in focus, but this time against another one of its major rivals – the Canadian dollar. AUDCAD fell from 0.9935 to 0.9739 in just ten trading days this month. But instead of dragging the pair even lower, the bears suddenly ran out of steam and allowed the bulls to lift the rate to 0.9840 earlier today. In order to find out what do the current recovery and the preceding weakness mean for AUDCAD’s near future, we need to put them into Elliott Wave context. The results provided by the hourly chart below are more than satisfactory.
audcad elliott wave analysis
AUDCAD’s 60-minute chart shows that the recent decline is actually a natural zigzag correction, labeled (a)-(b)-(c), which precedes a textbook five-wave impulse to the upside from 0.9555 to 0.9935 that developed between May 10th and June 6th. It is interesting to notice that two lower degrees of the impulsive structure can be recognized within waves (5) of A and (c) of B.

According to the theory, the trend can now be expected to resume in the direction of the five-wave rally, which means wave C has a good chance of lifting AUDCAD to parity. Besides, since there is already a bullish reversal in place, 0.9738 can be used as a stop-loss level. If this count is correct, as long as this figure stays intact there is still hope for the bulls to reach the 1.0000 mark.

Did you like this analysis? Learn to do it yourself with our eBook Elliott Wave guide!



Stay informed with our newsletter

Latest Elliott Wave analysis on different topics delivered to you weekly.

Privacy policy
You may also like:

GBPNZD: Pressure Mounts with Reversal in Place

GBPNZD has been in recovery mode for the past two years. The pair took off from 1.6705 in November 2016 and climbed to as high as 2.0470 in October 2018. The pound’s rally may seem counter-intuitive on the back of Brexit concerns in the United Kingdom, but that won’t be the first time the market…

Read More »

EURUSD Sharp U-Turn Predicted by Elliott Wave

2018 has so far been a terrible year for EURUSD bears and the month of October made no exception. The pair climbed to 1.1815 in late-September, but could not maintain the positive momentum. By October 31st it was down to 1.1302, losing over 300 pips that month alone. But in the Forex market traders cannot…

Read More »

Solving USDJPY Riddles with Elliott Wave Hints

Unlike the stock market, where a profitable company with a growing market share will eventually grow in value in the long-term, the Forex market can be a real riddle. Macroeconomic, political and country-specific factors are fighting for influence over currency rates in the $5-trillion-a-day market. USDJPY is one of the most closely followed pairs as…

Read More »

GBPJPY: Bearish Reversal Expected Near 151.00

GBPJPY has been in recovery mode since it touched 139.90 on August 15th. On September 21st, the pair climbed to a multi-month high of 149.72, but fell to an intraday low of 146.51 yesterday. As of this writing, the Pound is hovering around 147.90 against the Japanese yen. The time is appropriate to apply the…

Read More »

USDCAD Unreliable Resistance Identified in Advance

After slightly exceeding 1.3000 on October 8th, USDCAD retreated to 1.2926 two days later. Given that the pair has been declining since the 1.3386 top registered in late-June, assuming the bears are returning was quite justified. In addition, there was a declining trend line, which had previously led to significant selloffs on two separate occasions.…

Read More »

USDJPY Gave Us a Road Map Three Months Ago

There is a reason why it is called “trading” and not “bottom/top picking”. The latter is literally impossible even with the best trading tools and techniques. Even the Elliott Wave Principle, which we consider to be the best method for price behavior analysis, cannot tell us the exact price level at which the market is…

Read More »

GBPCAD ‘s Rally Needs a Healthy Pullback

October is shaping up to be a good month for GBPCAD bulls. The pair dipped below 1.6600 on October 2nd, but quickly reversed to the upside for a recovery of over 470 pips so far. Earlier today the Pound climbed to as high as 1.7070 against the Canadian dollar. However, extrapolating the current trend into…

Read More »

More analyses