A week ago, USDCAD was barely holding above 1.3100. The pair was still in the doldrums following a steep decline from its late-December high of 1.3665 and it appeared the bears had no intention of leaving. But in order to confirm their ambitions to drag USDCAD even lower, they first had to deal with the…
EURUSD Reversal Needed “Breathing Space”
EURUSD plunged below 1.1260 earlier today. The pair has been steadily declining during the last twelve months and the latest drop suggests a new low is very likely to be reached soon. But it wasn’t all that clear two weeks ago, when the Euro was hovering around 1.1400 against the U.S. dollar. Then the Elliott…
A Month Ahead of USDCAD ‘s Bullish Reversal
USDCAD finished 2018 in a positive mood. The pair reached 1.3665 on the last day of last year, but 2019 has not been so generous to the bulls so far. By February 1st, the rate was down to 1.3069, losing over 4.3% in just a month. But let’s take a step back and see where…
EURNZD: Is February Going to Mimic December?
It was November 30th, 2018, when we last talked about EURNZD. The pair was trading near 1.6570, following a sharp selloff from as high as 1.7929 in less than two months. After such a huge and fast decline, traders were understandably very pessimistic about the pair’s prospects going into December. However, extrapolation is a dangerous…
GBPNZD: Reversal in Place, Negative Outlook Intact
Less than two weeks ago, GBPNZD was hovering near 1.9160, following a recovery from as low as 1.8127. After a 10-figure rally in just a month and a half, the bulls were getting more and more confident in their ability to keep pushing the pair higher. Unfortunately for them, the market was already sending a…
GBPNZD: A Bearish Elliott Wave Cycle is Worrisome
Three weeks ago, GBPNZD was hovering around 1.8900, but the Elliott Wave principle suggested the recovery from 1.8125 was “far from over.” A three-wave pullback was supposed to occur, followed by another rally towards the resistance area between 1.9250 – 1.9630. The chart below, published on January 2nd, explains. The recovery from 1.8125 looked like…
NZDUSD Fibonacci Bounce Causes Optimism
At the start of December, 2018, NZDUSD almost reached 0.6970. A month later, the “flash crash” which brought chaos to many other Forex pairs, dragged the New Zealand dollar to 0.6586 on January 2nd, 2019. As of this writing, NZDUSD is hovering around 0.6760 and the bulls are probably wondering whether this is a chance…
GBPNZD ‘s Elliott Wave Recovery Far from Over
A month ago we shared our view that despite being long-term bearish on GBPNZD, we thought it was time for a notable recovery. While the pair was hovering around 1.8400, the market was sending a message that a recovery to roughly 1.9000 was around the corner. As always, this message had nothing to do with…
USDJPY Crashes After Textbook Elliott Wave Setup
It is not just stock market investors and oil bulls, who have been suffering lately. The holidays do not promise to be very happy for USDJPY bulls, as well. The pair fell to 110.81 on Thursday, revisiting levels last seen in early September. The Fed rate hike, the stock market crash and the tensions between…
GBPAUD Recovery Interrupts Larger Downtrend
Life has been tough on GBPAUD bulls recently. The pair reached a two-year high of 1.8733 on October 11th, but failed to maintain the uptrend. On December 3rd, the Pound fell to 1.7210 against the Australian dollar – a crash of over 1500 pips in less than two months. As of this writing, the pair…
GBPNZD: Support Ahead, Downtrend Still in Progress
On November 2nd, GBPNZD was trading above 1.9550. As of this writing, the pair is hovering slightly below 1.8400, meaning the British pound lost over 1150 pips against the New Zealand dollar in a single month. Fortunately, the Elliott Wave Principle put traders ahead of this sharp selloff. The chart below, published on November 5th,…
EURNZD Bulls Look Better Going into December
Yesterday, we shared our view that despite being down by over 460 pips this month, a bullish reversal can be expected in EURAUD around 1.5500. Now, we are going to take a look at EURNZD, which lost even more in November. The pair plunged from 1.7359 to 1.6515 in the last thirty days, following a…
EURAUD Bears Getting Tired. Bullish Reversal Ahead?
With only one day left, the Euro seems poised to end November in positive territory against the U.S. dollar, following a sharp decline in October. Unfortunately for the bulls, the European currency is still losing to some of its other rivals this month. EURAUD, for example, is down by over 460 pips since the start…
AUDUSD Looking for Support near 0.7160
AUDUSD climbed to 0.8136 in January, but similarly to other major currencies, spent the rest of 2018 declining against the U.S. dollar. The pair fell to 0.7021 on October 26th, but recovered to 0.7338 on November 16th. As of this writing, the Aussie trades at 0.7267 versus the greenback. Should we expect the downtrend to…
USDCAD Rewards the Most Patient Among Bulls
USDCAD climbed to 1.3318 yesterday and seems determined to reach a new 2018 high. The most important reason for the decline in the Loonie is maybe the decline in the price of oil. Unlike crude’s sharp drop, however, USDCAD’s recovery did not develop so smoothly. For every step forward the bulls have been making one…
